NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa1a17d0c1d67ace9569184b0b0a4d8f311b49860582c0ae035a3b015df3ced8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $243,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $251,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 51c | 73,249$37,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,001.49 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 39,220$19,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,814.96 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under | 58c | 26,630$15,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,255.71 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed Over | 42c | 14,982$6,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,290.33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…a925backed Under | 60c | 14,203$8,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,681.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +226.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aef…db15backed Over | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 58c | 8,122$4,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,435.59 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked Under | 58c | 7,876$4,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,308.01 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 53c | 6,432$3,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.37 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 44c | 5,931$2,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,597.22 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 57c | 5,692$3,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.81 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 42c | 5,230$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.41 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1103…bb2fbacked Under | 45c | 4,378$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.96 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 55c | 3,694$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.04 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Under | 58c | 3,481$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.97 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 58c | 3,466$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.54 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 2,765$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.78 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 59c | 2,691$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.6 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over | 44c | 2,623$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.05 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 59c | 2,431$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.88 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 49c | 2,391$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.38 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 2,299$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.38 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1449…a618backed Under | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…95cabacked Over | 22c | 1,880$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.5 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 43c | 1,849$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.13 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 58c | 1,802$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.91 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Over | 2c | 1,795$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Under | 60c | 1,700$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 58c | 1,679$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.07 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0a…629dbacked Under | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Under | 58c | 1,485$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.7 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 58c | 1,468$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.77 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 65c | 1,435$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…9210backed Over | 44c | 1,375$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 63c | 1,252$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.18 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Over | 2c | 1,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 6.5%8 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 59c | 1,163$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.76 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Under | 61c | 1,058$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.65 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 55c | 1,006$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.7 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…c790backed Over | 40c | 949.97$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 147 | 31.3%46 W · 101 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 58c | 893.35$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.7 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 60c | 828.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.66 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Over | 42c | 819.05$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…ae0ebacked Under | 61c | 818.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.38 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 13c | 788.16$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.63 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598a…1bdfbacked Over | 41c | 731.69$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Over | 47c | 723.57$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…31dcbacked Under | 58c | 688.9$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.9 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Over | 4c | 635$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 17c | 627.85$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…a053backed Under | 33c | 600.3$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.75 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 69c | 597$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.39 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 60c | 583.86$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 571.69$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.69 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…896cbacked Over | 44c | 569.97$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.78 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 35c | 562.74$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.78 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 65c | 512.3$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.76 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83f6…25b6backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Under | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Over | 3c | 499.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 319 | 51.1%163 W · 156 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Under | 57c | 485.47$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.83 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ff…947dbacked Under | 59c | 447.62$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.53 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 63c | 426$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.6 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 64c | 413.6$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.69 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Over | 4c | 374.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 1%1 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 47c | 361.31$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.82 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Over | 14c | 347.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 75c | 304.58$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6607…5bd9backed Under | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Under | 58c | 283.57$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.1 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…26cebacked Over | 40c | 275$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95a3…cc1bbacked Over | 72c | 264.2$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 42c | 258.17$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed Over | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Over | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 266 | 39.8%106 W · 160 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Over | 41c | 242.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Over | 63c | 222.18$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.47 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Under | 60c | 216.67$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 68c | 210.58$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.36 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8d…6724backed Under | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 52c | 196.25$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.2 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 56c | 195.89$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.19 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…f497backed Under | 61c | 195$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 41c | 192.46$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.05 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 50c | 189.9$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Over | 10c | 189.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 45c | 182.52$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.03 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 43c | 175.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.21 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 61c | 167.43$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.94 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…74c0backed Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8a…9c2fbacked Over | 43c | 165.73$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 40c | 154.83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Under | 65c | 153.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 48c | 143.12$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreEven won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.