TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,568
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,490

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,568 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over39c4,160$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.328,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under64c3,550$2,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.471,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over33c3,231$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.1793148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under53c2,801$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.081,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over37c2,707$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8081…95cabacked Over32c2,457$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.361711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-45.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over60c1,700$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.3110645.3%48 W · 58 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under66c1,633$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.5965872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under45c1,559$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.0155251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Over1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531951.1%163 W · 156 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Over1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under65c1,373$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.51,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over38c1,251$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.483935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Over1c1,204$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.04420%0 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over38c1,200$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.9920155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb240…df51backed Over55c1,184$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.142025%5 W · 15 L-5.6wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-54.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under60c1,183$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.3452150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under64c1,097$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.321,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over58c1,032$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over37c1,022$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.2284342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under64c1,021$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.446,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed Over1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1080%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe512…5751backed Over36c816.89$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.12425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c799.07$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.522,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb74f…acbbbacked Under65c765.94$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+152%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec2d…896cbacked Over38c659.99$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.87944.3%35 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under64c653.74$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.464,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a54…7c49backed Over38c645.76$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2434465.9%29 W · 15 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+55.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under61c499.99$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19362347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Under62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8718853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over22c448.91$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7131222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over34c437.26$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.676233.9%21 W · 41 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under52c418$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.2219548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under78c414.99$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.4511946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under48c400$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.981,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under62c393.03$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.8264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xae8f…1cc3backed Over50c384.29$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.515446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over30c323.57$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9425045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under40c321.27$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.7656646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over49c305.96$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under65c300.76$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.2715644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x497c…a9bbbacked Over35c274.61$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.12616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-66.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under60c264.13$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7532045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87b8…e1a1backed Under80c250.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.169663.5%61 W · 35 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over39c250$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.53647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6766…0db2backed Over36c222.22$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over35c212.54$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4378639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ea…639abacked Over36c208.33$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8240548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over32c183.39$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.042,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x946c…59cbbacked Under71c180.21$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.421275%9 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Under58c171.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5330055.7%167 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ff…947dbacked Under68c170$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.42075%15 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under65c163.78$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.351,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2055…4542backed Over36c155.56$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5623130.3%70 W · 161 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Under66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.524156.1%23 W · 18 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-19.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3aba…74c0backed Under66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c149.12$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.051,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over29c145.29$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6776653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xede5…5300backed Over51c144$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.441942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over39c115.44$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.85435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Under66c111.78$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5611239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Under74c108.51$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5117848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0976…8f4ebacked Over50c100.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501560%9 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+52.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa706…4b9ebacked Over33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8e3…2c54backed Under75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x616f…b241backed Under65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3515950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Under65c95$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2516052.5%84 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under69c89.38$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7921849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa021…d5c9backed Over38c80.42$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.561250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Over27c79.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9517237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x115f…f51dbacked Over38c79.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7291…3d0fbacked Over35c77.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.197945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79c…94eabacked Over35c77.14$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Under61c71.76$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7516867.3%113 W · 55 L+13.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Under21c67.67$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.466141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe05…c67cbacked Under60c67.67$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.072050%10 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f7d…3a0cbacked Over38c63.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.92334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under54c62.17$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5868838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ef2…fdb6backed Under62c62.1$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-77%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over25c59.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0533556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7468…3d24backed Over38c59.05$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.449437.2%35 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2d…76e3backed Over35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202835.7%10 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ab9…9448backed Over35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62a0…f94bbacked Over62c57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over53c56.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7860250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under63c54$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9826755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under51c50.66$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.937652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over38c50.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0831953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed Over38c49.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.45862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+41.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Over44c43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8225944%114 W · 145 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under63c42.9$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9216048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96db…499fbacked Under74c40.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.45560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a65…5864backed Under63c39.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.642548%12 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under65c39.57$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9919959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over35c37.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8180440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49d5…2b39backed Under60c35.13$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.961485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+54.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under64c34.09$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2196956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Over45c33.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2614264.8%92 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over38c31.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0312055.8%67 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.