NBA · resolved market

Spread: Thunder (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdccd58f87d394a83b1f584238889dff6b7a4771cd91266335cf8185c4ccc9b9

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Spursof Thunder, Spurs
Resolved: May 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,045,592
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,077,062

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,045,592 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 505 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1136…0c2ebacked Spurs	51c	320,858$163,337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157,520.26	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Thunder	48c	263,210$127,427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127,427.13	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Thunder	48c	164,314$78,871 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78,870.51	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Spurs	52c	150,616$78,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72,295.78	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked Spurs	53c	100,578$53,306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47,271.61	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Thunder	49c	100,000$48,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48,499.93	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Thunder	49c	64,528$31,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,590.33	354	38.1%135 W · 219 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Thunder	49c	34,543$16,926 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,925.83	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Thunder	47c	33,357$15,678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,678.33	145	38.6%56 W · 89 L	-12.9wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x635c…45c6backed Spurs	51c	29,412$15,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,411.76	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	61cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Spurs	51c	25,000$12,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,250	186	51.1%95 W · 91 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder	49c	24,907$12,205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,205.41	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Thunder	48c	24,324$11,724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,724.31	114	47.4%54 W · 60 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs	52c	19,231$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,230.77	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Spurs	52c	15,391$8,003 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,387.45	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Spurs	51c	15,100$7,701 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,399	101	46.5%47 W · 54 L	+7.9wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+217.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Thunder	26c	14,370$3,722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,721.66	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Spurs	51c	12,896$6,577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,318.88	267	53.2%142 W · 125 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82ba…0a52backed Thunder	49c	12,500$6,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,125	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Spurs	54c	11,494$6,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,324.06	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Spurs	51c	10,392$5,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,092.16	64	59.4%38 W · 26 L	+5.1wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+11%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c85…94a4backed Thunder	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Spurs	51c	9,804$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,803.92	104	48.1%50 W · 54 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc233…0561backed Spurs	54c	9,259$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,259.26	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	55cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Thunder	49c	9,116$4,447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,447.22	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Spurs	50c	8,566$4,283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,282.93	156	44.9%70 W · 86 L	-9.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Thunder	48c	8,000$3,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,840	242	52.5%127 W · 115 L	+18.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Thunder	48c	8,000$3,810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,810	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Spurs	51c	7,800$3,978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,822	172	47.7%82 W · 90 L	-6.1wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Spurs	52c	7,322$3,808 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,514.79	97	41.2%40 W · 57 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Thunder	49c	6,902$3,382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,381.83	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-3.1wins	-0.44per pick	58cpaid	-79.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Thunder	49c	6,888$3,375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,375.1	297	48.1%143 W · 154 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Thunder	48c	6,666$3,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,199.68	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	-4.5wins	-0.15per pick	31cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa538…12c3backed Spurs	51c	6,200$3,162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,038	29	75.9%22 W · 7 L	+7.1wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+47.4%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Thunder	49c	6,000$2,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,940	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Spurs	54c	5,930$3,188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,741.43	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	63cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Spurs	76c	5,479$4,145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,334.32	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Thunder	30c	5,132$1,533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,533.33	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Spurs	52c	5,000$2,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,400	898	53.1%477 W · 421 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs	52c	4,808$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,307.69	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Thunder	46c	4,636$2,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,132.5	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Spurs	51c	4,442$2,265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,176.55	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.9wins	+0.19per pick	41cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs	66c	4,335$2,882 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,453.41	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Spurs	53c	4,000$2,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,880	280	56.8%159 W · 121 L	+22.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+50.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Spurs	52c	4,000$2,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,920	160	50%80 W · 80 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52f9…ad24backed Spurs	51c	3,542$1,806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,735.48	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Thunder	10c	3,449$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.91	61	41%25 W · 36 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder	49c	3,349$1,636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,635.66	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs	52c	3,172$1,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,522.73	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Thunder	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,470	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Thunder	48c	3,000$1,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,440	102	48%49 W · 53 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder	46c	2,918$1,328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,327.63	521	50.9%265 W · 256 L	+18.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spurs	51c	2,461$1,255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,205.71	844	43%363 W · 481 L	-40.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs	51c	2,364$1,206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,158.36	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Thunder	34c	2,351$809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$808.91	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3c7…d601backed Thunder	50c	2,200$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs	67c	2,091$1,405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$686.03	305	51.5%157 W · 148 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5453…65cebacked Thunder	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Spurs	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960.78	117	59.8%70 W · 47 L	+13.0wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3c4e…3d91backed Spurs	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960.78	50	50%25 W · 25 L	+5.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Spurs	52c	1,923$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$923.04	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Spurs	68c	1,901$1,298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$603.15	528	61.9%327 W · 201 L	+32.3wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1788…0994backed Thunder	50c	1,790$889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$889.3	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-3.1wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs	69c	1,650$1,134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$515.79	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Spurs	65c	1,613$1,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.96	209	46.9%98 W · 111 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x432d…bda6backed Spurs	53c	1,540$815 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$724.95	109	58.7%64 W · 45 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Spurs	53c	1,500$795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$705	158	49.4%78 W · 80 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Thunder	49c	1,402$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$685.3	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Spurs	51c	1,373$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$672.55	535	39.6%212 W · 323 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Thunder	49c	1,313$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.9	199	59.3%118 W · 81 L	+22.0wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x81b0…858cbacked Thunder	43c	1,296$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Spurs	52c	1,278$664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$613.31	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs	51c	1,221$623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$598.29	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17be…e5b4backed Spurs	54c	1,189$640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$549.29	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	62cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x789f…2e8abacked Spurs	54c	1,186$640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$545.57	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-4.0wins	-0.12per pick	59cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ea3…a8aebacked Spurs	51c	1,129$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$553.41	68	58.8%40 W · 28 L	+5.3wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Thunder	50c	1,110$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555	219	57.1%125 W · 94 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Spurs	51c	1,015$518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$497.31	83	33.7%28 W · 55 L	-12.7wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-30%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Spurs	61c	1,002$614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$387.68	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Thunder	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	232	51.7%120 W · 112 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3e9…5521backed Thunder	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	22	72.7%16 W · 6 L	+4.4wins	+0.20per pick	53cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Thunder	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	350	49.4%173 W · 177 L	+17.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4c5…378abacked Spurs	57c	1,000$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430	157	44.6%70 W · 87 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Spurs	64c	998.86$641 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$358.06	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd3…74d4backed Thunder	50c	990.66$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.33	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-5.1wins	-0.18per pick	47cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Spurs	52c	987.75$514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$474.12	323	51.1%165 W · 158 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea39…9d34backed Spurs	51c	980.39$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.39	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.17per pick	40cpaid	+52.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ac6…a8cebacked Spurs	51c	932.43$476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$456.89	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Thunder	27c	901.46$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.72	203	53.7%109 W · 94 L	+21.5wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+32%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Spurs	51c	879.97$449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431.18	121	46.3%56 W · 65 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5e…6dd8backed Thunder	33c	857.21$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.88	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-3.3wins	-0.10per pick	31cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Thunder	47c	851.06$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	54	35.2%19 W · 35 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1c…5f43backed Thunder	46c	849.99$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Thunder	49c	841.74$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.45	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Thunder	49c	837.57$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.41	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Spurs	57c	831.81$472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$359.57	1,200	51.6%619 W · 581 L	+66.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Thunder	49c	816.33$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	284	48.2%137 W · 147 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9d2…58eebacked Thunder	49c	802.49$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$397.22	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+3.9wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+30%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Spurs	53c	754.72$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.72	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	+5.2wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Thunder (-3.5)this page
1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Spurs won
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 7.5No won
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 8.5No won
Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Spurs won
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Spurs won
Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs won
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Under won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Under won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Under won
Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreEven won
Spurs vs. Thunder: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Thunder (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event