NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2ff6bd27665d23957ce81df351ff7ce0b85a2f68b52dcf7114848c9aa1c379e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $211,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 284 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Spurs | 50c | 28,094$13,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,176.88 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Thunder | 47c | 21,360$10,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,036.66 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Spurs | 31c | 11,538$3,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,991.69 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder | 72c | 6,992$5,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,003.91 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Thunder | 61c | 6,767$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Thunder | 72c | 4,969$3,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,558.57 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Thunder | 63c | 4,934$3,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,114.68 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Thunder | 65c | 4,080$2,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,655.97 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Thunder | 62c | 3,625$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.22 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Thunder | 72c | 3,116$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.5 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Spurs | 27c | 3,089$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.33 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Thunder | 58c | 3,043$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.77 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Spurs | 40c | 3,037$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.87 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Spurs | 69c | 3,029$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.83 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Spurs | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.04 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked Thunder | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.99 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Thunder | 71c | 2,840$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.32 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Spurs | 29c | 2,500$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Spurs | 46c | 2,248$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.7 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Spurs | 29c | 2,241$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.38 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Spurs | 46c | 2,209$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.73 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Thunder | 51c | 2,151$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.84 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Thunder | 72c | 2,015$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.8 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Thunder | 49c | 2,000$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.65 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Thunder | 49c | 1,962$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.43 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Spurs | 80c | 1,877$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.83 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 61c | 1,839$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Thunder | 47c | 1,820$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.02 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Spurs | 29c | 1,800$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…69e5backed Thunder | 72c | 1,781$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…57e7backed Thunder | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…0927backed Spurs | 28c | 1,529$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.73 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Thunder | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Thunder | 29c | 1,405$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.75 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde80…d8b9backed Spurs | 29c | 1,156$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.78 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Spurs | 31c | 1,139$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.54 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Thunder | 71c | 1,108$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.83 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…a6aabacked Spurs | 36c | 1,106$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.87 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Thunder | 55c | 1,093$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.48 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…dbeabacked Spurs | 46c | 1,091$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.62 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs | 28c | 1,080$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.6 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs | 29c | 1,078$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.74 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs | 30c | 1,067$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.04 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Spurs | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.48 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Spurs | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.48 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Spurs | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 67c | 995.5$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.74 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Thunder | 57c | 994.68$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.97 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Spurs | 46c | 986.45$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.75 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Thunder | 71c | 972$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.12 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs | 47c | 962$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.06 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Spurs | 57c | 926.22$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.4 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Thunder | 69c | 869.56$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Spurs | 29c | 862.07$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.07 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Spurs | 29c | 855.17$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.17 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb6…f256backed Spurs | 28c | 792.86$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.86 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc04…1c43backed Spurs | 33c | 749.8$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Spurs | 28c | 705.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.51 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Thunder | 68c | 700$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…895dbacked Spurs | 66c | 699.99$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs | 44c | 695.18$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.63 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder | 58c | 688.48$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.66 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc2…78fdbacked Thunder | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd48…e421backed Spurs | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 302 | 42.1%127 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Thunder | 47c | 638.1$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Thunder | 63c | 631.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.89 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Thunder | 59c | 587$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.93 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Thunder | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde3d…6b1fbacked Spurs | 28c | 562.17$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.17 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Thunder | 49c | 556.39$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.25 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18d…3464backed Spurs | 61c | 525.01$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.01 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Spurs | 28c | 518.97$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.66 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61de…ed31backed Spurs | 59c | 506.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc02…f89cbacked Spurs | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…b8dbbacked Spurs | 28c | 487$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.64 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Thunder | 62c | 457.35$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.48 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Thunder | 68c | 457$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.76 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Thunder | 67c | 453.13$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Thunder | 32c | 450$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc879…30a4backed Spurs | 32c | 444.09$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.65 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Spurs | 65c | 413.85$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.85 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8af9…c3e8backed Thunder | 63c | 413.33$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.33 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +195.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thunder | 52c | 408.82$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.86 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Spurs | 28c | 406$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.32 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Spurs | 67c | 402.63$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.09 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Spurs | 28c | 400.21$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.86 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Thunder | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Thunder | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Spurs | 45c | 399.62$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.75 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Thunder | 75c | 397.16$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.87 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880e…54edbacked Spurs | 30c | 392.95$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.95 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Spurs | 28c | 385.71$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.71 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Thunder | 40c | 378.06$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.34 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Spurs | 27c | 369.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.51 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Spurs | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bc…a4c6backed Spurs | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Thunder | 72c | 345.71$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.97 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…5a0fbacked Spurs | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Spurs | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…21fbbacked Spurs | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.2wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreEven won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.