TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,743

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,157 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under77c10,763$8,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,430.211946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8081…95cabacked Over23c8,517$1,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,956.871711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-45.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over39c4,098$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.885742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over26c3,311$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.4293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over30c2,969$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.2564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8640…cdf1backed Over31c2,620$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.871172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under70c2,607$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.776,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5062…0b34backed Over34c2,382$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+75.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over31c2,369$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.4356646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.2520744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d53…eb1abacked Under50c1,852$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.894362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under70c1,709$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.271,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under71c1,559$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.1115644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under51c1,525$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.2469848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Over1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531951.1%163 W · 156 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Over1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under71c1,400$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4061,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c54…bebbbacked Over36c1,394$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.66425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under74c1,347$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.4765872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over30c1,340$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.038,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Over28c1,300$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.994531.1%14 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under66c1,179$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.2652150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2542…7821backed Over47c1,063$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed Over1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1080%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over32c999.86$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.9584342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Over37c995.02$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.2212451.6%64 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Under63c961.28$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.676141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over10c939.14$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9831222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under49c850.14$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.5755251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb240…df51backed Over50c803.98$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002025%5 W · 15 L-5.6wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-54.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x522d…3913backed Over51c785.1$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4355…c5d4backed Over30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid+19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8239…d9a3backed Under73c624.89$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.721241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Under70c624.87$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.8421640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Under74c537.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.3818853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under77c505$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.151,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0353…c79cbacked Under69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Over30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2af3backed Over48c434.7$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82e5…7e2fbacked Under74c407.64$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.641478.6%11 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf92f…1a35backed Over30c383.33$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-37.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under66c373.57$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9625045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9abc…636abacked Over29c307.93$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.31844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Over38c305.26$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1153855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf13d…afc3backed Under73c274.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.082462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Under75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6717848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a15…e238backed Over31c254.37$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over23c240.18$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2485449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over11c207.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.676653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over26c195.1$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7211145.9%51 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Under51c184.12$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.227950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xede5…5300backed Over41c182$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.621942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under51c177.96$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.289850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1288…d200backed Under75c160$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.46785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+49.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fd9…2451backed Over30c156.66$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.242962.1%18 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+28.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd2ab…8432backed Over32c156.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb82…0675backed Over30c156.07$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.824645.7%21 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Over30c153.43$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.036346%29 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Over32c141.91$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4627539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb7b…9825backed Under75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.8wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+52.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x31c3…d8f4backed Over31c129.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under54c105$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3580440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf84…d686backed Under76c105$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Over31c103.23$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3221637.5%81 W · 135 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…4576backed Over51c100.22$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2115961%97 W · 62 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8e3…2c54backed Under77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88d2…5517backed Under76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4962347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over13c99.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.536243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Under52c99.98$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.995971.2%42 W · 17 L+10.3wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under66c90.19$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.249853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under51c90$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.57946.8%37 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Under67c89.75$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2415663.5%99 W · 57 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under70c89.37$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4121046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed Under65c87.86$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.352334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over49c83.67$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Under72c82.46$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7811239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under54c82.28$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8978639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5218…7fc9backed Over49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under80c77.9$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5821849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f1d…5ae6backed Under80c75.18$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.182080%16 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfba…5f1bbacked Over27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over28c71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9732045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe3…dc16backed Over30c70$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+44.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.442669.2%18 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over30c68.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8331953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09fd…60f7backed Over30c67.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Over30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205048%24 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef6…353fbacked Over31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over27c64.46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4525954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf6bb…5fbdbacked Over32c63.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-67.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d6f…04b0backed Under73c63.01$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce05…fcc9backed Over49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.619959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Over33c59.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.691866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x32f2…7830backed Under70c54.33$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.31931.6%6 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.24per pick56cpaid-49.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x431a…50d7backed Over29c50.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.