TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,275
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,290

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,275 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xacb2…b989backed Yes56c5,517$3,090 inWon+$2,427.5449244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked No44c3,883$1,709 inLost-$1,708.5230351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked No44c1,473$648 inLost-$648.123056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+40.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No40c175$70 inLost-$7056050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dee…1415backed Yes60c165.25$99 inWon+$66.251080%8 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+41.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked Yes53c93.15$49 inWon+$44.2233049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85ee…79a9backed No48c62.5$30 inLost-$303351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes49c58.89$29 inWon+$29.8471449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88d2…5517backed No44c47.73$21 inLost-$212240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88c5…ff96backed No44c40$18 inLost-$17.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-43.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed No51c39.21$20 inLost-$2019555.4%108 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No43c33.97$15 inLost-$14.6143752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9b4…695ebacked Yes57c31.9$18 inWon+$13.721369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+66.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb57b…6783backed Yes56c25$14 inWon+$111764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7272backed Yes60c24.75$15 inWon+$9.93458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No50c22.18$11 inLost-$11.1433356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes56c20$11 inWon+$8.76150.8%31 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed No50c20$10 inLost-$1014253.5%76 W · 66 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x967b…46babacked Yes56c20$11 inWon+$8.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.