TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x88c5…ff96

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Valorant at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.38
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$11.62
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$25.01
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$16.9
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+77%+$8.7
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.17
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$17.3
Will Iran be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.58
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$19.5
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 19 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.34per pick57cpaid-60.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: LOUD vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Valorant: CGN Esports vs FOKUS (BO5) - VCL DACH: Evolution Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.9
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.52
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-43.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-57.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.42
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.