Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc4cf1f67a3e67179da7665cba2f21503d254217340ba2bc5c23add2ac6a2796
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fnaticof Fnatic, Team Heretics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Fnatic | 57c | 1,899$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.49 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Heretics | 48c | 1,449$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.16 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fnatic | 44c | 1,251$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.86 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Team Heretics | 59c | 1,030$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.52 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Heretics | 54c | 960.29$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.93 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Heretics | 45c | 691.81$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.5 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Fnatic | 51c | 659.21$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.38 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Heretics | 46c | 536$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.78 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Heretics | 71c | 518$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.78 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Fnatic | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Fnatic | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Heretics | 35c | 492.36$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.33 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Fnatic | 39c | 385.45$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.54 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Team Heretics | 51c | 375.9$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafe…c310backed Fnatic | 42c | 354.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.37 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Team Heretics | 65c | 352.35$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.16 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d43…3f6cbacked Team Heretics | 65c | 305.88$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.67 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Fnatic | 45c | 227.7$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.84 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993e…57d7backed Fnatic | 48c | 189.01$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Heretics | 54c | 184.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca78…b3a8backed Fnatic | 27c | 184.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Team Heretics | 70c | 184.2$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.04 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Fnatic | 55c | 181$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.45 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…ba12backed Team Heretics | 57c | 180.16$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Team Heretics | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Fnatic | 39c | 145$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcead…afeabacked Fnatic | 53c | 132.34$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.34 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Fnatic | 47c | 106.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed Fnatic | 79c | 104.8$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Fnatic | 43c | 104.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Heretics | 63c | 100.94$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Team Heretics | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Fnatic | 39c | 92.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Heretics | 64c | 86.87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Fnatic | 50c | 83.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Fnatic | 52c | 77.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1272…8144backed Team Heretics | 66c | 75.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Heretics | 58c | 71.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Team Heretics | 49c | 69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Heretics | 51c | 66.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed Fnatic | 30c | 65.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f9…aa7abacked Fnatic | 63c | 63.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d822backed Fnatic | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea86…6fb4backed Team Heretics | 50c | 60.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Heretics | 25c | 58.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Fnatic | 41c | 54.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…baa0backed Fnatic | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +72%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ff…6b45backed Fnatic | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Team Heretics | 50c | 49.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…e505backed Fnatic | 41c | 49.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Team Heretics | 54c | 46.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fnatic | 38c | 43.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1445…614abacked Fnatic | 35c | 36.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed Team Heretics | 47c | 33.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…ff96backed Fnatic | 48c | 31.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 57cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6161…c834backed Team Heretics | 51c | 28.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Team Heretics | 75c | 26.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Team Heretics | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce18…aff0backed Team Heretics | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)Team Heretics won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA PlayoffsTeam Heretics won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Map 2 WinnerTeam Heretics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.