Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2aed123326b6a4327c94f56b1b5dec98010fb4c7d79c5f84281c7dc8a7e0d188
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Hereticsof Fnatic, Team Heretics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Fnatic | 58c | 13,900$7,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,993.29 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Team Heretics | 39c | 11,111$4,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,777.7 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Fnatic | 36c | 7,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Heretics | 51c | 4,722$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.27 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Team Heretics | 68c | 3,718$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.96 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Team Heretics | 60c | 2,606$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.29 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Fnatic | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Fnatic | 41c | 1,428$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Team Heretics | 43c | 1,070$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.77 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Team Heretics | 40c | 1,036$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.59 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Heretics | 63c | 1,014$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.53 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Fnatic | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Fnatic | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Heretics | 56c | 987.57$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.77 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Heretics | 43c | 523.14$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.54 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Team Heretics | 46c | 511.85$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.96 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Team Heretics | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Heretics | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Fnatic | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fnatic | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Fnatic | 60c | 383.33$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 348 | 57.5%200 W · 148 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Fnatic | 60c | 372.21$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.33 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe9…4a83backed Team Heretics | 41c | 278.83$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.51 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcead…afeabacked Team Heretics | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Fnatic | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Fnatic | 53c | 250$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Heretics | 65c | 217.48$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.31 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Heretics | 40c | 202$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Fnatic | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Fnatic | 17c | 152.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Heretics | 75c | 137.09$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Team Heretics | 40c | 126.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Fnatic | 41c | 119.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.37per pick | 48cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa836…753fbacked Team Heretics | 76c | 118.09$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Fnatic | 12c | 112.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Heretics | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Heretics | 59c | 111.2$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Fnatic | 60c | 103.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Fnatic | 47c | 101.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Team Heretics | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…9182backed Fnatic | 51c | 98.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafe…c310backed Fnatic | 60c | 83.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Fnatic | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90a…f6b5backed Team Heretics | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Heretics | 39c | 79.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x317f…3a7abacked Fnatic | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Team Heretics | 43c | 73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Team Heretics | 43c | 70.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Fnatic | 58c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce18…aff0backed Fnatic | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Heretics | 42c | 69.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Fnatic | 32c | 59.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Team Heretics | 47c | 57.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…c678backed Fnatic | 28c | 53.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed Fnatic | 21c | 52.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Heretics | 40c | 52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Fnatic | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c45…7069backed Fnatic | 22c | 49.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x621a…3e19backed Fnatic | 41c | 43.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…02a1backed Team Heretics | 71c | 43.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d1…59c2backed Fnatic | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…8b0bbacked Fnatic | 61c | 39.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Fnatic | 61c | 30.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb0…ed25backed Fnatic | 61c | 30.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…ff96backed Fnatic | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 57cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…e14dbacked Team Heretics | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6161…c834backed Team Heretics | 59c | 28.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Fnatic | 58c | 25.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Heretics | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Fnatic | 59c | 18.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)Team Heretics won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA PlayoffsTeam Heretics won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Map 1 WinnerFnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.