La Liga · resolved market
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcabd890251afdb018c1f1eebb2cfa21456a92abd52cf8fbbd58cbf52403aa4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 11,492$5,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,355.09 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 56c | 8,421$4,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,688.12 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 44c | 4,219$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.91 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 56c | 2,533$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.71 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked No | 45c | 1,900$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 53c | 1,900$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.97 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 47c | 1,780$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.38 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Yes | 55c | 1,741$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.23 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc294…570ebacked Yes | 39c | 1,639$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.13 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 57c | 964.91$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.91 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafb2…0942backed Yes | 57c | 704.72$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.03 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 43c | 585.57$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.31 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…546bbacked Yes | 57c | 503.51$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.51 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d95…9a88backed Yes | 55c | 472.73$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 62c | 452.23$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.51 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 45c | 446.06$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.74 | 476 | 53.8%256 W · 220 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 637 | 57.1%364 W · 273 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 43c | 393.43$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.17 | 750 | 51.3%385 W · 365 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd5…255ebacked No | 45c | 325.13$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Yes | 54c | 322.22$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 44c | 304.27$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 294.31$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.32 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 72c | 275.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed No | 59c | 254.54$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.43 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Yes | 55c | 241.94$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.82 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 35c | 237.51$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.38 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 44c | 214.68$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.09 | 226 | 58.4%132 W · 94 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 53c | 199.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 177 | 59.3%105 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes | 55c | 192.73$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 54c | 172.09$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.16 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 45c | 157.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…32b2backed Yes | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 46c | 135$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed No | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed No | 44c | 126.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 10c | 115.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 836 | 40%334 W · 502 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6e…8b2dbacked Yes | 55c | 113.71$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 58c | 101.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 190 | 37.9%72 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 56c | 99.97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 44c | 99.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 47c | 95.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…4c5cbacked Yes | 58c | 86.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9c…0f82backed Yes | 55c | 69.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Yes | 54c | 68.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cf…91abbacked Yes | 55c | 61.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes | 56c | 46.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed No | 44c | 39.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…f222backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…7952backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b3…0e11backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27e2…20ccbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 45c | 34.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 57c | 33.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b81…e7a6backed Yes | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3350…9588backed No | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…d6f5backed Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked No | 46c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 47c | 29.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3946…b565backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…ff96backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c12…3d74backed Yes | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 44c | 26.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked No | 44c | 22.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada6…9447backed Yes | 55c | 22.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +9.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Girona FC (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)Girona FC won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)Girona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.