La Liga · resolved market
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28c04e6bcdda7ac6de8185eed970892e16e63bb36b2f74b217d8cdc8b8349fc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 8,731$4,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,543.65 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 50c | 3,701$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.71 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 34c | 3,412$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.69 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 1,544$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.13 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Over | 70c | 1,346$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.2 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 66c | 812.58$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.95 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 40c | 750.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.13 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 608.86$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.61 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Over | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e7…4a56backed Under | 32c | 593.75$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 26c | 545.19$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.75 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 26c | 542.7$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.23 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…c554backed Over | 75c | 424$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 10c | 385.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 9c | 381.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 74c | 369.29$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.01 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 69c | 300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 26c | 272.58$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.87 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 29c | 214.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 25c | 211$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked Under | 6c | 204.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 44c | 203.91$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.19 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 50c | 164$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Under | 54c | 150$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 136 | 68.4%93 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 45c | 130$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.9 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 32c | 124$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.23 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Over | 47c | 103.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 74c | 102.85$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c9…1ec6backed Under | 26c | 96.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Over | 56c | 87.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1118…028cbacked Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7978…dad7backed Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 20c | 86.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.36 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 23c | 83.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.86 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…09d2backed Over | 46c | 82.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 81.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 69c | 81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 48c | 80.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 64c | 73.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 72c | 69.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1b…94b2backed Over | 72c | 68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -13.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 38c | 65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…ffd7backed Over | 75c | 62.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833a…e833backed Over | 77c | 61.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Under | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 130 | 70.8%92 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 27c | 57.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…c3aabacked Over | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…4d47backed Over | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -44%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 25c | 49.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 80c | 48.12$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 23c | 47.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94ab…83f5backed Over | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 48 | 77.1%37 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 54c | 43.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…ccd2backed Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 32c | 37.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 75c | 36.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 36c | 34.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 51c | 34.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 72c | 33.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 53c | 27.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Over | 73c | 17.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -11.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb768…37dabacked Over | 74c | 16.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 65c | 16.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Girona FC (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)Girona FC won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)Girona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.