La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe293c057489d909939d64e3688a26bffa6ec9bad1d98d2ce8e5a5507654ba4ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Girona FCof Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, Girona FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 20c | 1,200$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.67 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 18c | 1,015$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Girona FC | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 23c | 153.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd1…0689backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 11c | 101$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 19c | 99.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…2e2bbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 21c | 91.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 16c | 72.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Girona FC | 78c | 72.07$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Girona FC | 77c | 52.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ab…83f5backed Girona FC | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 48 | 77.1%37 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Girona FC | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd388…7ed9backed Girona FC | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)this page
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Girona FC (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)Girona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.