TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5513…2e2b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
179
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7542.7%32 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+523.9%+$91.68
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.75
France vs. England: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+168.5%+$161.79
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.21
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$40.33
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.13
France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$33.87
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$3,862Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,862.03
Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.71
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.19
Will Bruno Fernandes be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.71
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.17
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.94
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.12
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.72
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$47.37
Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+117.5%+$22.77
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.74
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$5.32
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.51
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$87.55
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.67
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.66
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.77
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$67.46
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.51
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+900%+$184.86
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.4
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+302.8%+$133.83
Dota 2: Chandogs vs Amaru Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Chandogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.02
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Flame Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Flame Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.34
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.69
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.11
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.78
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.82
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$20.52
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.99
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.2
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$38.71
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+74%+$54.85
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.1
Dota 2: OG vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.81
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.32
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.76
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.37
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.08
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+292.6%+$56.67
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.43
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.1
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$16.48
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.55
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.87
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$32.42
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.2
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.85
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+300%+$144.48
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.28
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.16
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.93
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.25
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$29.17
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.56
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.33
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.36
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.07
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.49
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tienbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.27
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$20.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.48
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$8.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$8.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.