Fifa International · resolved market
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5943cca27ce657f519619520b1664829b1209f9a5ef9266be7f2954be1b0260
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,221,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,918,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,221,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 5,416 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x640d…9a4cbacked No | 28c | 2,816,283$784,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784,192.85 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 11c | 852,736$97,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,757.93 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 27c | 845,992$224,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224,860.66 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Yes | 72c | 764,109$550,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213,950.41 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes | 73c | 711,207$516,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194,525.83 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 75c | 412,416$308,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,400.4 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 75c | 371,007$278,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,011.3 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked No | 24c | 348,851$83,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,345.01 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Yes | 76c | 275,808$208,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,572.88 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Yes | 73c | 270,409$198,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,334.3 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 73c | 261,109$190,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,777.14 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Yes | 72c | 250,000$178,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,250 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…89debacked No | 28c | 239,575$67,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,511.05 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked No | 5c | 188,778$8,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,653.47 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 29c | 186,763$53,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,299.17 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed No | 27c | 178,321$48,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,750.43 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a2…6dd9backed Yes | 69c | 176,994$122,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,859.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 76c | 165,700$125,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,383.06 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 27c | 161,150$43,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,181.28 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 25c | 149,277$37,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,191.08 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Yes | 75c | 120,251$90,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,250.84 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac7…6d53backed Yes | 75c | 119,102$88,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,300.49 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 19c | 117,815$22,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,153.49 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 3c | 111,374$3,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,313.39 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 29c | 103,702$30,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,412.63 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 77c | 103,079$79,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,418.96 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 25c | 99,999$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,999.84 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked Yes | 72c | 95,000$68,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,599.92 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes | 76c | 91,410$69,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,102.93 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 13c | 87,290$11,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,539.04 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 29c | 85,698$25,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,171.45 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed No | 12c | 84,730$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd471…edf8backed No | 28c | 76,454$21,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,036.62 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed No | 25c | 76,406$18,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,828.06 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 77c | 73,748$57,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,734.73 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…9d59backed Yes | 75c | 70,000$52,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,674.97 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Yes | 73c | 68,728$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,728.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 72c | 68,398$49,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,196.76 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 25c | 64,647$16,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,452.97 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes | 76c | 62,051$47,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,892.15 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked No | 11c | 59,086$6,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,352.53 | 208 | 39.4%82 W · 126 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 24c | 54,079$13,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,049.98 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed No | 25c | 53,274$13,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,325.3 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 29c | 52,504$15,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,156.6 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…232fbacked No | 26c | 51,628$13,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,294.26 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 14c | 50,092$7,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,083.07 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 24c | 44,449$10,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,589.6 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…3c52backed No | 25c | 43,500$10,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,961.29 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 72c | 40,848$29,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,575.86 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed No | 27c | 40,000$10,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,700 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9301…3b67backed Yes | 76c | 37,000$27,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,032.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 30c | 32,273$9,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,808.33 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Yes | 73c | 31,584$23,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,540.92 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed No | 28c | 30,836$8,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,648.3 | 89 | 31.5%28 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 1c | 29,469$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.69 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 74c | 29,403$21,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,581.03 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ca…7895backed No | 25c | 29,213$7,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,353.42 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked No | 25c | 28,800$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Yes | 74c | 28,527$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,527.44 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 21c | 28,000$5,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,987.49 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 71c | 27,988$19,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,231.46 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 12c | 27,102$3,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.07 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Yes | 73c | 26,809$19,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,223.98 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +15.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked No | 24c | 26,513$6,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,410.36 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Yes | 75c | 26,491$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,491.23 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f90…21fabacked No | 24c | 26,398$6,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,203.48 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 25c | 26,325$6,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,643.46 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec4c…fb48backed No | 25c | 25,651$6,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,477 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 31c | 25,634$7,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,823.65 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked No | 24c | 25,263$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked No | 26c | 25,252$6,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,550.44 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed No | 24c | 25,095$6,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,106.46 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…e80abacked Yes | 74c | 24,539$18,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,380.01 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1280…6b24backed Yes | 75c | 23,860$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,859.65 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 72c | 23,628$17,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,515.41 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 26c | 23,500$6,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,019.91 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed No | 13c | 23,198$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.77 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…8f51backed Yes | 72c | 22,850$16,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,395.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa45f…4e8dbacked No | 24c | 22,557$5,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,301.44 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 17c | 22,455$3,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,803.94 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…7fd4backed Yes | 76c | 22,255$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,254.91 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 75c | 22,254$16,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,530.82 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Yes | 71c | 20,731$14,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,960.16 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Yes | 74c | 20,385$15,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,259.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…5ad4backed No | 25c | 20,000$5,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,050 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…c2f9backed Yes | 76c | 20,000$15,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 11c | 20,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…f2a3backed No | 25c | 20,000$5,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,024.91 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked No | 24c | 20,000$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,849.89 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…1581backed No | 24c | 19,950$4,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,789.43 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc6…0018backed Yes | 77c | 19,454$14,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,571.67 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e55…2ef7backed No | 25c | 19,099$4,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,706.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…b37bbacked No | 26c | 18,822$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.61 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe909…c888backed Yes | 75c | 18,628$13,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,677.22 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91f…59ddbacked No | 25c | 18,360$4,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,635.9 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 77c | 18,121$14,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,089.62 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 76c | 18,000$13,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,295 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…2601backed No | 25c | 17,968$4,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,446.96 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 18c | 17,909$3,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,262.66 | 312 | 32.4%101 W · 211 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…2978backed No | 25c | 17,700$4,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,469.19 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?this page
- Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?No won
- Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.