Fifa International · resolved market
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2abb2c5d2a65365c4107904c4d7e04b6eef9cfc6875658bf3327c589cfd20589
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,249,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,042,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,249,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 677 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcde3…534dbacked Yes | 8c | 349,999$26,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,624.9 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2505…c668backed Yes | 1c | 219,078$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.69 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 204,757$9,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,773.04 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 8c | 160,616$13,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,438.52 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108e…b771backed Yes | 8c | 49,112$3,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,725.66 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0df…69c5backed Yes | 8c | 46,892$3,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,751.37 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 2c | 43,788$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.62 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes | 2c | 42,948$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.14 | 121 | 9.1%11 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 7c | 42,351$3,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,165.11 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 8c | 40,835$3,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,266.77 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 3c | 40,107$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.37 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…9bb5backed Yes | 1c | 40,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 8c | 38,710$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d5…7171backed Yes | 7c | 36,388$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d4…7abfbacked Yes | 2c | 25,715$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes | 9c | 24,311$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.7 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 8c | 21,087$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.81 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 6c | 21,057$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.95 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb715…c3bbbacked Yes | 12c | 19,934$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.67 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes | 0c | 19,845$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.73 | 174 | 16.1%28 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc5…6f99backed Yes | 2c | 19,032$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb79…47a9backed Yes | 1c | 18,875$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.52 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 8c | 18,309$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.92 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes | 7c | 16,892$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.05 | 736 | 26.5%195 W · 541 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cf…7260backed Yes | 4c | 16,327$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.07 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 8c | 15,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…3e67backed Yes | 8c | 13,391$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -73%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Yes | 2c | 13,131$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.89 | 214 | 39.7%85 W · 129 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Yes | 8c | 11,983$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Yes | 2c | 11,953$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.07 | 95 | 3.2%3 W · 92 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Yes | 9c | 11,570$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.52 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…ca8cbacked Yes | 8c | 10,787$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…7ce0backed Yes | 1c | 10,579$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes | 7c | 10,363$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.55 | 122 | 6.6%8 W · 114 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92fa…7d02backed Yes | 1c | 10,160$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac3…bf4dbacked Yes | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…86f2backed Yes | 9c | 9,541$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.65 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 1c | 9,133$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…5bd7backed Yes | 1c | 9,000$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.21per pick | 35cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742e…99b2backed Yes | 5c | 8,776$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772d…45bbbacked Yes | 7c | 8,599$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.95 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…d208backed Yes | 6c | 8,509$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.04 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -70%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 8c | 8,000$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.48 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 8c | 7,835$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.77 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 9c | 7,777$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.37 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 9c | 7,476$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.17 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Yes | 8c | 7,429$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293f…26a1backed Yes | 4c | 6,993$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.34 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa7…b25bbacked Yes | 2c | 6,700$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Yes | 10c | 6,674$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.44 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7f…1a39backed Yes | 5c | 6,314$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 8c | 6,000$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.5 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…e409backed Yes | 3c | 5,997$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.9 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f16…780cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,232$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.06 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6025…9d54backed Yes | 0c | 5,200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…21e8backed Yes | 2c | 5,158$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06b…def9backed Yes | 8c | 5,150$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.1 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 8c | 5,150$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a76…53debacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x987f…8737backed Yes | 9c | 4,875$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 9c | 4,706$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.76 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7b…c30dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,350$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24fd…1250backed Yes | 2c | 4,300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 9c | 4,293$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.91 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…b5e1backed Yes | 8c | 4,285$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…c57dbacked Yes | 4c | 4,236$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb62c…aa71backed Yes | 2c | 4,178$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -57%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55bd…45e9backed Yes | 2c | 4,129$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f22…97f4backed Yes | 7c | 4,104$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe34a…f5f0backed Yes | 1c | 4,093$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…180ebacked Yes | 8c | 4,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 27cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 5c | 3,735$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.76 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8233…36d5backed Yes | 5c | 3,732$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.74 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed Yes | 1c | 3,500$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…440bbacked Yes | 9c | 3,449$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a27…7cafbacked Yes | 3c | 3,410$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…d0e1backed Yes | 1c | 3,267$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…1959backed Yes | 2c | 3,250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 1c | 3,143$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf952…602fbacked Yes | 9c | 3,109$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.24 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…a2cebacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c01…f7a7backed Yes | 5c | 3,000$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb288…abbbbacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +74%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…54a6backed Yes | 7c | 2,931$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…bf1fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,918$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…14b7backed Yes | 7c | 2,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…3648backed Yes | 7c | 2,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…ef06backed Yes | 1c | 2,650$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6866…b8f4backed Yes | 2c | 2,500$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes | 9c | 2,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 58 | 1.7%1 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 8c | 2,495$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.21 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…489fbacked Yes | 8c | 2,447$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 148 | 37.8%56 W · 92 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec2…4035backed Yes | 8c | 2,424$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e66…51d3backed Yes | 8c | 2,424$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd7…e47ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,350$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +180.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 7c | 2,337$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.01 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…5ec8backed Yes | 9c | 2,286$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 20.5%17 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…d8edbacked Yes | 2c | 2,250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…1ca0backed Yes | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +143.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?this page
- Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?No won
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.