TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,249,453
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,042,941

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,249,453 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 677 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcde3…534dbacked Yes8c349,999$26,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,624.9220%0 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2505…c668backed Yes1c219,078$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.691915.8%3 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick11cpaid-24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes5c204,757$9,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,773.048,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes8c160,616$13,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,438.5224441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x108e…b771backed Yes8c49,112$3,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,725.665930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0df…69c5backed Yes8c46,892$3,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,751.374025%10 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes2c43,788$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.624,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes2c42,948$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.141219.1%11 W · 110 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes7c42,351$3,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,165.1165835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes8c40,835$3,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,266.772,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes3c40,107$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.3779231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4bb…9bb5backed Yes1c40,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes8c38,710$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0d5…7171backed Yes7c36,388$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,720.071040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0d4…7abfbacked Yes2c25,715$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes9c24,311$2,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,171.73426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes8c21,087$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.811,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes6c21,057$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.953,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb715…c3bbbacked Yes12c19,934$2,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,434.674425%11 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes0c19,845$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7317416.1%28 W · 146 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fc5…6f99backed Yes2c19,032$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015131.8%48 W · 103 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb79…47a9backed Yes1c18,875$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.525726.3%15 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes8c18,309$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.922,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes7c16,892$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.0573626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03cf…7260backed Yes4c16,327$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.076627.3%18 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes8c15,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20040655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc181…3e67backed Yes8c13,391$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.22616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-73%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f75…ce35backed Yes2c13,131$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.8921439.7%85 W · 129 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Yes8c11,983$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9505947.5%28 W · 31 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Yes2c11,953$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.07953.2%3 W · 92 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Yes9c11,570$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.5277433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5252…ca8cbacked Yes8c10,787$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.891050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+31.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe828…7ce0backed Yes1c10,579$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes7c10,363$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.551226.6%8 W · 114 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92fa…7d02backed Yes1c10,160$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac3…bf4dbacked Yes8c10,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8005141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04c…86f2backed Yes9c9,541$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.652520%5 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes1c9,133$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6798134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64f7…5bd7backed Yes1c9,000$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.21per pick35cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x742e…99b2backed Yes5c8,776$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41023022.6%52 W · 178 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x772d…45bbbacked Yes7c8,599$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.956819.1%13 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-52.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e63…d208backed Yes6c8,509$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.042213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-70%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes8c8,000$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.4847032.8%154 W · 316 L-0.7wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes8c7,835$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.7729916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes9c7,777$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.3719038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes9c7,476$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.171,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Yes8c7,429$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61018150.3%91 W · 90 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x293f…26a1backed Yes4c6,993$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.345123.5%12 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefa7…b25bbacked Yes2c6,700$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.54341.9%18 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43f2…09a5backed Yes10c6,674$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.444650%23 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e7f…1a39backed Yes5c6,314$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.27616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-73.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes8c6,000$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.555044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…e409backed Yes3c5,997$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.91822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-64.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f16…780cbacked Yes2c5,232$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.06407.5%3 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6025…9d54backed Yes0c5,200$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae02…21e8backed Yes2c5,158$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004228.6%12 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe06b…def9backed Yes8c5,150$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.13823.7%9 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes8c5,150$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41260511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Yes8c5,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004134.1%14 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+30.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a76…53debacked Yes2c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004628.3%13 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x987f…8737backed Yes9c4,875$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Yes9c4,706$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.7667447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e7b…c30dbacked Yes2c4,350$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24fd…1250backed Yes2c4,300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.412825%7 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+78.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes9c4,293$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.9131945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300f…b5e1backed Yes8c4,285$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3303243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dcc…c57dbacked Yes4c4,236$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15070%0 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb62c…aa71backed Yes2c4,178$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.81333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-57%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55bd…45e9backed Yes2c4,129$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f22…97f4backed Yes7c4,104$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002416.7%4 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-72.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe34a…f5f0backed Yes1c4,093$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.99848%47 W · 51 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb385…180ebacked Yes8c4,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick27cpaid-74.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed Yes5c3,735$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.7634238.6%132 W · 210 L-1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8233…36d5backed Yes5c3,732$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.748940.4%36 W · 53 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf393…9b65backed Yes1c3,500$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2510624.5%26 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x797e…440bbacked Yes9c3,449$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012412.5%3 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick14cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a27…7cafbacked Yes3c3,410$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.26180%0 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x182f…d0e1backed Yes1c3,267$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1760%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84b2…1959backed Yes2c3,250$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6550%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes1c3,143$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305315.1%8 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-37.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf952…602fbacked Yes9c3,109$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.244934.7%17 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7789…a2cebacked Yes2c3,000$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.56030%18 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c01…f7a7backed Yes5c3,000$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1558230.5%25 W · 57 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb288…abbbbacked Yes2c3,000$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.51233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+74%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x180a…54a6backed Yes7c2,931$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.52040%8 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+69.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1508…bf1fbacked Yes2c2,918$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x438a…14b7backed Yes7c2,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc12f…3648backed Yes7c2,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97eb…ef06backed Yes1c2,650$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6866…b8f4backed Yes2c2,500$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.75812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes9c2,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225581.7%1 W · 57 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-86.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes8c2,495$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2193542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc7e…489fbacked Yes8c2,447$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19014837.8%56 W · 92 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ec2…4035backed Yes8c2,424$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007518.7%14 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e66…51d3backed Yes8c2,424$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffd7…e47ebacked Yes2c2,350$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4650%3 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+180.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes7c2,337$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.0136139.1%141 W · 220 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…5ec8backed Yes9c2,286$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008320.5%17 W · 66 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-31.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4977…d8edbacked Yes2c2,250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-43.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc12e…1ca0backed Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001723.5%4 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick10cpaid+143.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.