Fifa International · resolved market
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89f3660355b18cdd0684d129970fbcafbe253427af12a76cd806bc684f240f6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,658,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,888,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,658,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 675 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Yes | 23c | 855,486$196,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196,495.95 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x640d…9a4cbacked Yes | 18c | 350,000$64,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,660.66 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f0…5355backed Yes | 18c | 177,388$31,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,898.57 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 79c | 169,212$132,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,345.64 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Yes | 19c | 111,209$20,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,776.14 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 16c | 84,207$13,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,406.24 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 16c | 72,005$11,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,350.94 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b38…1dccbacked No | 77c | 45,954$35,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,684.31 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 17c | 45,362$7,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,598.15 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 17c | 29,576$5,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,041.95 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…fe05backed No | 80c | 27,000$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 78c | 20,790$16,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,562.36 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 79c | 18,986$15,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,976.45 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes | 17c | 16,443$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,795.31 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108e…b771backed Yes | 17c | 16,257$2,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,763.76 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 15c | 15,921$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.81 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 17c | 15,001$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.17 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c05…2ddebacked No | 80c | 15,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Yes | 11c | 12,154$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 20c | 11,949$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399 | 312 | 32.4%101 W · 211 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 12c | 11,772$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.16 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…28f5backed Yes | 18c | 10,000$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.99 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3608…b13dbacked Yes | 18c | 9,854$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.37 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 9,521$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.8 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8f…8df8backed Yes | 21c | 9,406$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.19 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Yes | 2c | 9,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 95 | 3.2%3 W · 92 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1d…eb2ebacked Yes | 10c | 8,014$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.79 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed No | 78c | 7,794$6,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.86 | 293 | 33.8%99 W · 194 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Yes | 10c | 7,496$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.49 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked Yes | 18c | 7,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 3c | 6,411$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.16 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72f…8c4abacked Yes | 18c | 6,177$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa422…2b56backed Yes | 18c | 6,111$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…fc59backed Yes | 2c | 5,989$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…9a00backed Yes | 17c | 5,900$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.99 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 17c | 5,826$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.3 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 17c | 5,714$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…b795backed Yes | 18c | 5,556$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes | 18c | 4,624$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.66 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef8d…b115backed Yes | 18c | 4,167$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 102 | 24.5%25 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 21c | 4,069$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.24 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 21c | 3,818$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.91 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 17c | 3,796$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.83 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…9fd6backed Yes | 1c | 3,522$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cf…7260backed Yes | 14c | 3,260$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.59 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed Yes | 17c | 3,000$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.5 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2824…4aacbacked Yes | 10c | 2,927$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…0b82backed Yes | 18c | 2,900$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.75 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Yes | 18c | 2,888$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.62 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe305…ca0fbacked Yes | 18c | 2,817$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.01 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…7245backed Yes | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 17c | 2,680$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.89 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b97…514fbacked Yes | 18c | 2,669$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes | 19c | 2,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 115 | 5.2%6 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 14c | 2,584$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.77 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 18c | 2,584$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.37 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987c…8c2bbacked Yes | 18c | 2,535$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 18c | 2,512$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.55 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 13c | 2,443$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.53 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 12c | 2,437$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.31 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 11c | 2,399$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.87 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3a…5678backed No | 78c | 2,350$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.88 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…6ababacked Yes | 17c | 2,300$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed Yes | 19c | 2,233$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.76 | 202 | 24.3%49 W · 153 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…02b5backed Yes | 18c | 2,222$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 266 | 44%117 W · 149 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…a0eabacked No | 79c | 2,141$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf952…602fbacked Yes | 19c | 2,123$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.16 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Yes | 10c | 2,087$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.6 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…2163backed Yes | 18c | 2,056$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 12c | 2,031$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.23 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Yes | 20c | 2,025$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Yes | 17c | 2,013$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.15 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 18c | 2,000$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 283 | 37.1%105 W · 178 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc20e…642abacked Yes | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf2…cec8backed Yes | 15c | 1,993$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.68 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Yes | 10c | 1,958$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.14 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742e…99b2backed Yes | 7c | 1,949$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,916$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.07 | 736 | 26.5%195 W · 541 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…8cfebacked Yes | 1c | 1,914$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 17c | 1,900$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.75 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd105…3613backed Yes | 13c | 1,882$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc575…1002backed Yes | 17c | 1,873$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.15 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f22…97f4backed Yes | 17c | 1,791$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 14c | 1,716$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.36 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 11c | 1,715$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.05 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 18c | 1,644$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 78c | 1,629$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.46 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 11c | 1,621$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.82 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…10c9backed Yes | 13c | 1,581$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8630…158bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,538$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…e21bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 268 | 36.9%99 W · 169 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0918…7363backed Yes | 14c | 1,500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c11…48ffbacked Yes | 17c | 1,471$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 13c | 1,426$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.57 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…1862backed Yes | 18c | 1,389$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 18c | 1,389$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 206 | 33%68 W · 138 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Yes | 18c | 1,388$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.84 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?this page
- Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?No won
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.