TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$736,990
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$831,040

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $736,990 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 446 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6373…a0b7backed Team Liquid0c89,149$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1514825%37 W · 111 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Team Spirit47c48,000$22,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,445.1633746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Team Liquid0c41,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6092056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid42c35,295$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00096557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit46c30,694$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,694.191,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Spirit55c30,691$16,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,789.2580256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked Team Spirit79c21,212$16,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,488.7821650.9%110 W · 106 L-25.3wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-21.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x0eab…d4bfbacked Team Liquid0c15,950$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.952119%4 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-54%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid58c15,129$8,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,774.8942650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd472…a5b2backed Team Spirit45c13,502$6,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,478.171070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Team Liquid47c13,462$6,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,267.9541056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Team Liquid48c13,340$6,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,386.1343344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked Team Liquid57c12,346$7,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,043.95154.9%28 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid37c12,004$4,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,481.241,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Spirit40c12,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,20019847%93 W · 105 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid38c11,999$4,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,528.921,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Liquid60c10,636$6,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,3801,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Liquid52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20036041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid53c9,277$4,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,897.331,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed Team Spirit44c8,609$3,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,778.2318351.9%95 W · 88 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Team Liquid34c6,747$2,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,273.5234468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Team Liquid53c6,602$3,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,498.8556542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Liquid37c6,008$2,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,216.8968649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid38c5,540$2,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,086.0589749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Team Liquid54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7005244.2%23 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Team Liquid56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.9924153.1%128 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Team Spirit49c4,700$2,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,391.525752.1%134 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Team Spirit57c4,549$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,948.8361456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Team Liquid60c4,440$2,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,663.828459.5%50 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Team Liquid58c4,351$2,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,523.8227153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Spirit42c3,963$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.0361057.9%353 W · 257 L+2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Team Spirit47c3,760$1,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,002.27357.5%42 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked Team Liquid35c3,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22510646.2%49 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Spirit43c3,500$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,99541055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82da…da33backed Team Liquid43c3,433$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.1110743%46 W · 61 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Liquid27c3,331$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.4399844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed Team Spirit55c3,103$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.9448057.1%274 W · 206 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed Team Spirit56c3,000$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.87656.6%43 W · 33 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc62d…74fcbacked Team Liquid41c2,917$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2015251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Liquid38c2,695$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.3145750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29e8…091cbacked Team Liquid33c2,661$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.672030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked Team Spirit46c2,568$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.952259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+35.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Team Spirit47c2,568$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.229650%48 W · 48 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Team Liquid49c2,389$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.7915144.4%67 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked Team Spirit51c2,372$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.3848843.6%213 W · 275 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Team Liquid44c2,299$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.711,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Team Liquid52c2,278$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.498847.7%42 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Spirit52c2,240$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.2432951.7%170 W · 159 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x008b…c1cfbacked Team Liquid47c2,169$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0205547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Team Spirit50c2,167$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.153560%21 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cd2…f5c4backed Team Liquid55c2,121$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.217864.1%50 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Team Liquid58c2,120$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.613851.4%71 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Team Spirit50c2,104$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.073847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Team Liquid1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201153.5%4 W · 111 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-88.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Liquid51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02060646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Liquid49c1,980$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.931,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb11…8f3fbacked Team Liquid36c1,964$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.4110551.4%54 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Team Liquid51c1,900$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.4277256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x790e…b82dbacked Team Spirit46c1,870$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.792445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Team Liquid47c1,845$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.5760552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Team Spirit54c1,675$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.61,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed Team Liquid20c1,650$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.55853.4%31 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Team Liquid55c1,639$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.4430336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team Spirit48c1,626$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.777941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed Team Spirit56c1,537$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.0711753%62 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Team Liquid41c1,504$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.5734051.5%175 W · 165 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5812…7d11backed Team Liquid25c1,500$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3702157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Team Liquid48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72018550.8%94 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Team Spirit67c1,490$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.2923459%138 W · 96 L+0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Liquid55c1,477$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.4589741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Liquid53c1,464$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.4965441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e4…7ba4backed Team Spirit48c1,445$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.783938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Spirit48c1,417$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.461,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Team Spirit47c1,376$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.2121146.9%99 W · 112 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb888…b15bbacked Team Spirit45c1,344$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.33850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Liquid57c1,334$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.3356955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit59c1,325$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.421,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9fe…bcd7backed Team Liquid16c1,283$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.466847.1%32 W · 36 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b9…05a0backed Team Liquid1c1,250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159210.9%10 W · 82 L-18.0wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-77.2%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Spirit76c1,250$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.0553764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05d1…2bb3backed Team Liquid51c1,210$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.5417248.3%83 W · 89 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Team Liquid58c1,200$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.5536248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Team Spirit64c1,155$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.1722543.6%98 W · 127 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Team Liquid53c1,132$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60012065.8%79 W · 41 L+15.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Team Spirit46c1,125$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.127452.7%39 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked Team Spirit43c1,122$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.350347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c09…a8d1backed Team Liquid1c1,085$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.832123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Team Spirit43c1,040$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59288539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c8f…4d12backed Team Spirit48c1,028$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.4935062.6%219 W · 131 L+44.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Team Liquid46c1,006$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.599839.8%39 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Team Spirit60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.0420145.3%91 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Team Liquid30c1,000$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.0917133.9%58 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Liquid50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50036547.7%174 W · 191 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Team Spirit57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43049455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Liquid50c999.99$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7226846.6%125 W · 143 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Team Liquid54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9956852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x968a…3841backed Team Liquid44c986.1$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.6720939.2%82 W · 127 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Team Spirit51c976.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.3530534.4%105 W · 200 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Team Spirit50c968.83$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.917146.2%79 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Liquid16c950$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15233845.6%154 W · 184 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.