TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dplus KIAof Dplus KIA, T1
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$693,593
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$850,861

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $693,593 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 618 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40ea…832fbacked Dplus KIA35c37,333$12,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,393.2820339.9%81 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked T160c30,345$18,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,277.0467760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Dplus KIA28c23,970$6,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,207.741,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed T174c20,869$15,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,435.0291854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Dplus KIA46c18,228$8,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,775.52,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed T159c17,586$10,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,407.771,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Dplus KIA25c16,173$4,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,125.1881143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x468c…d7cabacked Dplus KIA33c14,228$4,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,559.013844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed T178c13,385$10,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,486.0939964.4%257 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Dplus KIA53c11,607$6,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,462.9146637.6%175 W · 291 L-19.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb42f…900bbacked T163c10,027$6,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,335.392853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc04e…75d9backed Dplus KIA35c10,007$3,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,504.47147.9%34 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49cf…1cdebacked T178c9,535$7,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,437.522552%13 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa463…3601backed T142c9,467$3,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,978.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Dplus KIA46c9,014$4,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,867.861,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked T176c8,748$6,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,648.472,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fd1…bfe8backed Dplus KIA30c7,917$2,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,554.7555639.6%220 W · 336 L+32.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Dplus KIA44c7,886$3,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,448.841,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Dplus KIA33c6,795$2,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,520.841,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe80e…a4c5backed T158c6,787$3,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,930.0118442.4%78 W · 106 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Dplus KIA38c6,325$2,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,950.3837640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed T163c6,213$3,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,916.661,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed T156c5,986$3,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,361.6246257.8%267 W · 195 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed T164c5,932$3,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,783.674932.7%16 W · 33 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb589…91e3backed Dplus KIA38c5,931$2,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,690.5551348%246 W · 267 L+25.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed T166c5,708$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,779.9582953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85b…2477backed T161c5,700$3,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,477.77875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed T11c5,555$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5516511.5%19 W · 146 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+70.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee7c…70f2backed Dplus KIA27c5,528$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,041.2948533.6%163 W · 322 L+23.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed T115c5,202$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.2825143.4%109 W · 142 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Dplus KIA28c5,159$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7043,11933.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L-151.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd525…1815backed Dplus KIA53c5,043$2,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,359.7613632.4%44 W · 92 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked T129c5,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45067552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed T158c4,657$2,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,683.591,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Dplus KIA41c4,650$1,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,741.9926942.4%114 W · 155 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed Dplus KIA42c4,613$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,671.517439.7%69 W · 105 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Dplus KIA43c4,383$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,494.6113333.8%45 W · 88 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed T176c4,243$3,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,227.271,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1887…f75dbacked T160c4,200$2,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,516.712945.7%59 W · 70 L-12.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Dplus KIA35c4,000$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,609.993,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b89…a4cdbacked T175c3,996$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00070857.1%404 W · 304 L+41.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked Dplus KIA72c3,728$2,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.321275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe022…12c5backed T159c3,656$2,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,164.071593.3%14 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.22per pick72cpaid+29.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x36ad…2267backed T124c3,601$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.4317150.9%87 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed T178c3,572$2,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,770.741,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Dplus KIA42c3,516$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.279823.5%23 W · 75 L-10.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-46.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked T157c3,332$1,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,895.511,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed T159c3,038$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80010046%46 W · 54 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Dplus KIA37c2,876$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.8532839.6%130 W · 198 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Dplus KIA38c2,758$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.7186943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa95b…0d14backed T163c2,757$1,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,741.725764.9%37 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50b1…861bbacked Dplus KIA39c2,700$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.233949%166 W · 173 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Dplus KIA46c2,619$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.1275342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Dplus KIA42c2,497$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.1652848.9%258 W · 270 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab1…9b4fbacked T165c2,451$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590.289456.4%53 W · 41 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Dplus KIA31c2,418$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.7947838.7%185 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ac7…8a43backed T146c2,398$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.5418132.6%59 W · 122 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9348…6664backed T158c2,391$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.0428859%170 W · 118 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Dplus KIA38c2,379$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.091,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked T172c2,365$1,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70238462%238 W · 146 L-0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab28…3ff0backed T165c2,308$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+54.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed T168c2,300$1,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56414158.2%82 W · 59 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed T167c2,250$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50076639.6%303 W · 463 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed T162c2,250$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39584050.1%421 W · 419 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed T173c2,187$1,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,586.5515453.9%83 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ff…906cbacked T177c2,173$1,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,673.212656.3%71 W · 55 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a7…bcb7backed T160c2,117$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2702055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked T163c2,115$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.9996057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Dplus KIA36c2,111$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.4890337.5%339 W · 564 L-18.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Dplus KIA36c2,110$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.152,82041.4%1,167 W · 1,653 L-14.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed T148c2,062$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.1285652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed T165c2,000$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.6589943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Dplus KIA22c2,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5601,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58ce…e206backed Dplus KIA25c2,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.9722452.2%117 W · 107 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed T166c1,992$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.6267276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x26c5…8813backed Dplus KIA45c1,973$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.31361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed T156c1,888$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.2857349.4%283 W · 290 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked T164c1,875$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20052065.4%340 W · 180 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecb2…73e0backed T163c1,794$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a4b…4a75backed T171c1,750$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2408751.7%45 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed T177c1,711$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.1259554.1%322 W · 273 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce6…ba8bbacked T165c1,647$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.1511059.1%65 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba5…b29dbacked Dplus KIA36c1,600$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Dplus KIA26c1,594$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.1760053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed T125c1,588$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.0715334.6%53 W · 100 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac4…7310backed T169c1,569$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.6313854.3%75 W · 63 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Dplus KIA33c1,528$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.3169041.3%285 W · 405 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Dplus KIA33c1,500$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.9935353.5%189 W · 164 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7d07backed Dplus KIA36c1,500$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.978334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x248d…2885backed T162c1,452$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9006563.1%41 W · 24 L+0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed T159c1,437$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85045148.1%217 W · 234 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed T165c1,374$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89379864.3%513 W · 285 L+32.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6c3…55a3backed T149c1,372$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.3511547.8%55 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Dplus KIA29c1,367$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.182,18733.3%729 W · 1,458 L-71.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Dplus KIA29c1,323$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.632,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed T178c1,309$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.258850.5%297 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed T146c1,302$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60060354.7%330 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1090…3ad3backed T162c1,280$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80011243.8%49 W · 63 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked T178c1,272$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.7718953.4%101 W · 88 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked T178c1,265$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.7998956.8%562 W · 427 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.