Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fcafcd5fb27918bdafc9ea259adcc0cf8f254b1d661a735cb963faeecfdced3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Over | 33c | 12,500$4,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,173.74 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 67c | 7,000$4,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 66c | 5,066$3,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.7 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked Under | 69c | 2,879$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.79 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 31c | 2,645$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.84 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 48c | 1,286$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.21 | 2,187 | 33.3%729 W · 1,458 L | -71.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 55c | 1,260$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.24 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 30c | 838.55$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.56 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…54adbacked Under | 70c | 710.49$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.79 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 65c | 699.98$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 1,149 | 45.2%519 W · 630 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 67c | 495.01$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.35 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Under | 67c | 406.41$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.12 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Over | 32c | 406.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.03 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Under | 68c | 390.66$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.63 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 30c | 385.34$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.39 | 2,303 | 39.4%907 W · 1,396 L | -82.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 30c | 329.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.69 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Over | 40c | 294.24$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.01 | 312 | 44.6%139 W · 173 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 35c | 288.67$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.87 | 400 | 31.3%125 W · 275 L | -28.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b81…e7a6backed Over | 35c | 278.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.63 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac89…3783backed Under | 75c | 261.96$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 56c | 260.15$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 404 | 41.8%169 W · 235 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Under | 75c | 252.7$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.34 | 240 | 35.4%85 W · 155 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 60c | 237.58$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.03 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 32c | 229.56$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.24 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Over | 35c | 217.24$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 573 | 49.4%283 W · 290 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Under | 59c | 204.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.94 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 58c | 190.78$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.79 | 221 | 65.6%145 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 70c | 134$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5381…f932backed Under | 68c | 129.88$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Over | 36c | 113.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +207.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Under | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 62c | 99.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Over | 47c | 87.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 186 | 40.9%76 W · 110 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a06…71c8backed Over | 30c | 81.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 70c | 67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 252 | 42.5%107 W · 145 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 31c | 63.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 68c | 61.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1,490 | 54.6%813 W · 677 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 32c | 61.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…bb8abacked Under | 52c | 57.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 218 | 59.2%129 W · 89 L | +26.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 56c | 55.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 2,672 | 35.7%954 W · 1,718 L | -153.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…548ebacked Under | 71c | 55.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 238 | 80.3%191 W · 47 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 32c | 53.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 48c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 3,119 | 33.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L | -151.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2469…4812backed Over | 39c | 51.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…c264backed Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 797 | 73.3%584 W · 213 L | +45.3wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 31c | 46.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 395 | 7.1%28 W · 367 L | -122.2wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 32c | 39.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 2,820 | 41.4%1,167 W · 1,653 L | -14.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Over | 30c | 36.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Under | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 793 | 45.4%360 W · 433 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 70c | 29.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 68c | 21.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…ab59backed Under | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1,300 | 49.2%639 W · 661 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?Yes won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)T1 won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)Dplus KIA won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier PlayoffsT1 won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 3 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 4 WinnerT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.