TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of T1, Dplus KIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,919
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$182,224

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,919 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa7df…5eeebacked Dplus KIA43c17,971$7,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,701.8214549.7%72 W · 73 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked T156c17,156$9,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,548.4855955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9c5…1d81backed T157c12,124$6,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,213.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed T161c12,000$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,699.9891854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Dplus KIA43c6,300$2,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,708.1259554.1%322 W · 273 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Dplus KIA44c5,685$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.3125143.4%109 W · 142 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked T156c5,500$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,420.0517647.7%84 W · 92 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Dplus KIA44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20021144.5%94 W · 117 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked T154c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.9967552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked T145c4,362$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,392.6838462%238 W · 146 L-0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Dplus KIA37c4,019$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.1132234.5%111 W · 211 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c75…1b0dbacked Dplus KIA44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7609129.7%27 W · 64 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa538…12c3backed T157c3,800$2,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6347758.4%45 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Dplus KIA47c3,524$1,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.752,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Dplus KIA55c3,110$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.9432555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Dplus KIA46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38015046%69 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Dplus KIA43c2,682$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.3782352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Dplus KIA43c2,365$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.141,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Dplus KIA44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51df…8901backed T155c1,893$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.411250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Dplus KIA44c1,800$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79232145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Dplus KIA43c1,653$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.6743539.5%172 W · 263 L-24.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Dplus KIA43c1,635$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70337640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed Dplus KIA44c1,519$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.715543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd12c…ed3dbacked T157c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64512649.2%62 W · 64 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Dplus KIA43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.9810648.1%51 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed T157c1,400$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6026741.8%28 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Dplus KIA46c1,304$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003560%21 W · 14 L+5.4wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+37.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Dplus KIA43c1,165$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.2360849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Dplus KIA49c1,058$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.8316035%56 W · 104 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed T158c1,042$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.4912639.7%50 W · 76 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed T157c1,019$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.322,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed T152c1,016$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.4826042.3%110 W · 150 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1350…f908backed T157c1,013$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.626860.3%41 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58e3…c540backed Dplus KIA20c986$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.215146.4%70 W · 81 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7b1…7e9abacked T152c935.54$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4454746.8%22 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Dplus KIA43c930.21$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9949847.2%235 W · 263 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed T156c891.53$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.5316344.8%73 W · 90 L-12.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Dplus KIA45c888$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.61,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d9e…3cb9backed T156c799.99$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3541070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Dplus KIA45c794.65$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35832653.4%174 W · 152 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78ee…565bbacked T164c775.22$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.221163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked T157c753.23$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.893943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ea…3668backed Dplus KIA46c650$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29911246.4%52 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed T155c641.98$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.8947455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed T150c600$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2991,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Dplus KIA41c582.1$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.6641343.8%181 W · 232 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Dplus KIA43c549.52$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23990537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ed…9bb9backed Dplus KIA44c545.13$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.971963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Dplus KIA47c543.51$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.9820631.6%65 W · 141 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a1c…5a9cbacked T157c538.46$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.5410141.6%42 W · 59 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked T156c531.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.7428150.5%142 W · 139 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Dplus KIA44c530$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.51,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked T164c510$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.714352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ddb…ed44backed T157c461.75$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.551947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5999…bdbebacked T157c437.19$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.996065%39 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61ce…e4b0backed Dplus KIA44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1762437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed T149c397.25$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.61,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Dplus KIA43c396.77$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.6196054.2%520 W · 440 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Dplus KIA45c344.44$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15550158.3%292 W · 209 L-17.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked T157c344.33$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.068053.8%43 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…9bf9backed Dplus KIA44c340.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Dplus KIA44c340.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010049%49 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed T159c336.79$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.7943640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed T154c331.5$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.8821946.6%102 W · 117 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd7…f491backed T162c323.06$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.842246.4%196 W · 226 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x861f…1ddcbacked T154c322.69$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.442458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce20…bb8abacked T129c320.91$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.721859.2%129 W · 89 L+26.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4813…9c01backed T155c320.36$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.161942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked T180c313.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.221346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x321d…d0acbacked T157c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12912462.9%78 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed T158c299.67$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.867335.6%26 W · 47 L-8.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-35.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Dplus KIA44c299.06$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.5916048.1%77 W · 83 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Dplus KIA45c292$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.421,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Dplus KIA20c262.76$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5735353.5%189 W · 164 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b5f…1ae6backed T166c250.99$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.341154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+146.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed T154c242.29$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.4521154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53db…480ebacked T157c224$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.063100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Dplus KIA45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked T156c220$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.825466.5%169 W · 85 L+22.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ba8…d72bbacked T153c219$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9317659.7%105 W · 71 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb99e…8c2bbacked Dplus KIA47c214.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Dplus KIA44c210$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.430255.6%168 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Dplus KIA43c210$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.313151.1%67 W · 64 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Dplus KIA27c205.48$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4817136.3%62 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d7…dacfbacked T173c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4828965.1%188 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7772…0e56backed Dplus KIA44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Dplus KIA47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9474637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked T153c199.99$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe592…74adbacked Dplus KIA43c199.96$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.986443.8%28 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked T170c182.41$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7286649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x500f…4c28backed T157c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4418849.5%93 W · 95 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01ae…55f8backed T158c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4110169.3%70 W · 31 L+14.9wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+28.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed T158c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4111258%65 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed T158c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4128250%141 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked T159c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4963458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x660a…3d22backed T159c169.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.12365.2%15 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+39.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed Dplus KIA44c168.27$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.049441.5%39 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked T144c159.09$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.093438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Dplus KIA44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.