Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11b8c7fd0fb231857b4eea6f09dc6a0bba74664a0378ed3778853e83c090036b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $520,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $526,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $520,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a6b…7450backed Yes | 0c | 256,153$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 42,842$23,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,522.63 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 8c | 30,666$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.49 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x086a…bcc4backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.97 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 52c | 6,302$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.37 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 41c | 5,957$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 41c | 5,324$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.15 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 52c | 4,888$2,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc96…1245backed Yes | 20c | 4,681$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 52c | 4,508$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.9 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 69c | 4,238$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.89 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 51c | 4,217$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.03 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…2497backed No | 80c | 3,929$3,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5eb…93bfbacked Yes | 57c | 3,167$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked Yes | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 0c | 2,720$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…2712backed Yes | 2c | 2,702$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 40c | 2,686$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.26 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Yes | 57c | 2,560$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes | 48c | 2,175$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.16 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 28c | 2,024$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.19 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes | 32c | 1,974$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 31cpaid | +265.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Yes | 55c | 1,882$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e30…02a0backed Yes | 3c | 1,867$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0abc…5a5cbacked Yes | 56c | 1,776$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,729$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab76…93e7backed Yes | 29c | 1,717$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…7c31backed Yes | 31c | 1,705$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bf…4ba8backed Yes | 57c | 1,650$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked No | 75c | 1,609$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.7 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7f…336fbacked Yes | 57c | 1,522$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 63c | 1,518$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Yes | 57c | 1,491$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 31c | 1,430$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.61 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked Yes | 32c | 1,404$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.34 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 73c | 1,361$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Yes | 28c | 1,250$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked No | 46c | 1,246$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked No | 61c | 1,209$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 34c | 1,180$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 34c | 1,179$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…3519backed Yes | 57c | 1,140$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…3c50backed No | 48c | 1,139$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Yes | 27c | 1,135$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.09 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 42c | 1,128$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.29 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf95…5c3ebacked No | 70c | 1,112$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987c…cd13backed No | 74c | 1,085$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 43c | 1,083$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.69 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Yes | 58c | 1,063$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…89ebbacked Yes | 46c | 1,059$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…2f60backed Yes | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64ce…944bbacked Yes | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked No | 70c | 985.41$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Yes | 29c | 966.55$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed Yes | 35c | 924$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 918.63$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.9 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 73c | 899.96$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.17 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked No | 67c | 891.38$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked Yes | 59c | 840.59$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 29c | 836.97$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.72 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62be…444cbacked Yes | 56c | 821.43$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Yes | 57c | 812.28$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 57c | 812.13$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.14 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 57c | 792.7$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6952…40d8backed Yes | 57c | 777.38$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 70c | 758$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.01 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Yes | 27c | 713.74$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 48c | 700.97$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Yes | 29c | 694.66$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 73c | 606.3$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed No | 66c | 580.09$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a1…3e3dbacked Yes | 55c | 557.82$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…4571backed Yes | 56c | 539.88$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Yes | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 72c | 524.83$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.95 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 58c | 517$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068b…2106backed Yes | 57c | 505.19$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.13 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2352…4c5abacked Yes | 40c | 502.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…4892backed Yes | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Yes | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…fa0ebacked Yes | 49c | 499.98$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…d1ffbacked Yes | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 58c | 458.84$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.4 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Yes | 34c | 449.98$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe896…2698backed Yes | 42c | 449.87$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 68c | 433.28$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.02 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Yes | 31c | 425.81$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Yes | 22c | 414.48$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd119…28abbacked No | 74c | 403.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed No | 57c | 399.55$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 55c | 396.93$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb9…02ddbacked No | 68c | 383.1$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25?this page
- Will Paderborn vs. Wolfsburg end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.