Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Paderborn vs. Wolfsburg end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ea20d776290509a6d27850ffc301351f9c72b21672ba040451ed704b48f8048
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 0c | 27,377$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 27c | 14,283$3,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,426.71 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 57c | 13,417$7,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,642.89 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 73c | 5,250$3,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,832.5 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 73c | 5,206$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800.08 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Yes | 51c | 3,141$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.89 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 31c | 3,107$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 73c | 2,943$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.94 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 71cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 73c | 2,678$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.7 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes | 33c | 2,377$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…3519backed Yes | 41c | 1,889$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 73c | 1,863$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.89 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 44c | 1,783$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.83 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 57c | 1,548$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.55 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Yes | 69c | 1,381$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.77 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 39c | 1,216$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.7 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 38c | 999.98$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 53c | 977.03$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.84 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 71c | 885$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.35 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 29c | 881.5$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 45c | 875.11$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.08 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Yes | 29c | 700$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked No | 30c | 650.37$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Yes | 39c | 623.31$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.9 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 27c | 600.04$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.03 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Yes | 43c | 582.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.6 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Yes | 56c | 567.54$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5370…84adbacked Yes | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 55c | 509.41$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.09 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 61c | 494.78$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.96 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 483.5$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.44 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Yes | 29c | 480$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a0…8423backed Yes | 31c | 383.18$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.74 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 28c | 379.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.59 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Yes | 66c | 373.64$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked No | 72c | 361.11$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed No | 49c | 360.73$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 48c | 352.41$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.13 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0c…a1aabacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 59c | 338.13$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.11 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 29c | 336.48$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.9 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 55c | 331$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.29 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…1ad7backed Yes | 61c | 328.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +147.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 28c | 304.35$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.13 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 47c | 275.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.78 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…b1fbbacked Yes | 29c | 275.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 26c | 271.52$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.92 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 52c | 259.62$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.62 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed Yes | 61c | 251.23$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d25…5529backed Yes | 44c | 220$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…caedbacked No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef5a…492abacked Yes | 29c | 189.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 31c | 173.16$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed No | 59c | 152.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed No | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6802…da5ebacked No | 68c | 147.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 62c | 141.38$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.77 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 67c | 141.17$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf558…3c42backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 68c | 135.72$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 134.57$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.39 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed No | 60c | 130.68$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 79c | 124$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +37%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 65c | 123.13$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.63 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 33c | 121.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 72c | 120.56$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.17 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 29c | 113.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.79 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 27c | 108$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 48c | 107.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 67c | 104.79$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Yes | 77c | 103.89$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 34c | 97.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.06 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…144bbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…2cfbbacked Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b5a2backed Yes | 49c | 79.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f0…8722backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…d911backed Yes | 37c | 69.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 42c | 67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 71c | 62.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x836f…e56cbacked Yes | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a24…36ddbacked Yes | 34c | 58.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 56.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 69c | 52.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…e97cbacked Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…fa8dbacked Yes | 41c | 47.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 34c | 41.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 68c | 40.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paderborn vs. Wolfsburg end in a draw?this page
- Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25?No won
- Will Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.