Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc416b4fa1b9f66ad1b4458b52b273a8f087f55f91459a55c04f0b991347ed4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $531,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $531,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $531,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf883…cd1fbacked No | 57c | 338,515$194,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144,424.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked Yes | 42c | 61,757$25,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,950.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 43c | 60,548$25,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,930.84 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Yes | 43c | 50,000$21,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 26,725$10,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,844.92 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 9c | 16,384$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 43c | 10,485$4,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,555.71 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 43c | 10,400$4,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,432.98 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 36c | 10,152$3,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,683.63 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 9c | 9,999$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.91 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 43c | 8,000$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 43c | 7,282$3,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,131.55 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0792…b778backed No | 55c | 6,823$3,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Yes | 46c | 6,666$3,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,066.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 44c | 4,060$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.86 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 43c | 3,954$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.8 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 43c | 3,814$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 42c | 3,187$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.57 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 42c | 3,163$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 43c | 2,934$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 43c | 2,757$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.61 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked Yes | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed No | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,277$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 45c | 2,214$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Yes | 68c | 2,206$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,198$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed Yes | 21c | 2,115$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.07 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf95…5c3ebacked No | 71c | 2,085$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 10c | 2,012$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 54c | 1,952$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.99 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…5aaebacked No | 61c | 1,630$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 55c | 1,556$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.02 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Yes | 45c | 1,551$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Yes | 42c | 1,480$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 42c | 1,310$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Yes | 4c | 1,105$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…899dbacked Yes | 46c | 1,074$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6be3backed Yes | 10c | 1,050$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed No | 63c | 1,036$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 75c | 1,029$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.27 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 32c | 1,023$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.54 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…74d6backed Yes | 11c | 981.18$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.93 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 44c | 964$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.16 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00e…ea73backed No | 43c | 931.34$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked No | 63c | 877.08$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Yes | 11c | 818.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1b…82fdbacked Yes | 46c | 788.54$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ca…5cd1backed Yes | 10c | 783.7$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb9…f1d0backed Yes | 15c | 776.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 47c | 754.58$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.9 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Yes | 68c | 730.33$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Yes | 44c | 690.56$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 43c | 685.82$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.74 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed Yes | 39c | 657.55$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 55c | 648.72$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.06 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 42c | 639$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.38 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 44c | 631$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.37 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 61c | 620.41$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.87 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 46c | 593.43$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.73 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 44c | 581$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.51 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…c365backed No | 55c | 532.62$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 59c | 526.59$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…34c0backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 68c | 516.18$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 10c | 514.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 45c | 513.33$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.51 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…44b7backed Yes | 39c | 509.03$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 74c | 505.75$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.72 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 78c | 499.19$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.09 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 42c | 456.15$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.58 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…e910backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Yes | 45c | 445.73$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 55c | 419.97$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.92 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 54c | 417.78$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.65 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…cf06backed Yes | 19c | 414.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed No | 64c | 400.2$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0a…77b5backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf162…c78ebacked Yes | 21c | 383.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 67c | 381$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.27 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x353b…e535backed Yes | 45c | 374.07$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed No | 54c | 368$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 46c | 363.04$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-25?this page
- Will Paderborn vs. Wolfsburg end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.