TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9e30…02a0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Serie A, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 53 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$86.59
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.7
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$61.16
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$102.55
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$37.59
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$51.88
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$22.67
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$42.42
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.72
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$22.75
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$20.79
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.2
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$49.82
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$28.99
All 17 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mirassol FC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
CSyD Macará vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Club Always Ready vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$53.92
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
CDP Junior FC vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. Club Universitario de Deportes: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$21.33
CA Platense vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$19.29
CA Boston River vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
CS Cristal vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.19
Millonarios FC vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
CA Unión vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.48
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CD Cuenca: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.85
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.76
Racing Club vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.66
All 16 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+47%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick71cpaid-64.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.52
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$25.74
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.49
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$31.76
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$5.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tallahassee: Daniil Glinka vs Jack Kennedybacked Jack Kennedy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$19.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 172.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.