Serie A · resolved market
Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2e5b2c5f4a9099b998372834a8a55e2459a349422d657c556cc35a84601a0f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 1c | 3,645$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 18c | 3,012$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.01 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 11c | 2,982$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 21c | 2,368$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.28 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Under | 5c | 1,853$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.69 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Under | 12c | 1,684$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 77c | 1,347$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.23 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 80c | 1,255$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.04 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 22c | 1,001$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.28 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 22c | 860$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.4 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 80c | 656.05$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.21 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…8d45backed Under | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 11c | 523.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 71c | 508.3$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.41 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 20c | 453.23$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.65 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 19c | 311.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 71c | 276.3$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.13 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +14.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 71c | 272.35$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.03 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…53c9backed Under | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 73c | 248.02$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 243.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 79c | 235.44$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +6.1wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 20c | 233.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 21c | 206.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 79c | 129.87$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 23c | 126.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 19c | 89.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…8aa1backed Under | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec5…4168backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e30…02a0backed Over | 79c | 61.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca6…4beabacked Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdf…6e54backed Over | 80c | 34.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x686b…ea8fbacked Over | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f5…d680backed Over | 79c | 29.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Over | 79c | 25.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 79c | 17.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1954…b625backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)Juventus FC won
- Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.