TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$211,261
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$214,721

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,261 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38f0…2768backed Over55c58,106$31,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,264.39850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over59c30,839$18,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,643.842450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Under41c24,113$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0001050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+46.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Under41c21,130$8,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,663.31833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under48c12,479$5,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,990650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under45c6,400$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8806165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c6,222$2,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,821.2568750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over60c5,655$3,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,262.4819952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under43c5,387$2,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,340.7998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under45c4,800$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1604971.4%35 W · 14 L+9.6wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over58c4,523$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.681,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Under41c4,000$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under50c3,634$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8003863.2%24 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over56c3,484$1,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.92,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over47c3,181$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.053923.1%9 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under45c2,800$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2606365.1%41 W · 22 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over59c2,500$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.9916045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under45c2,400$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0805862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under46c2,368$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.285151%26 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under41c2,319$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over55c2,159$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.9115946.5%74 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under47c2,088$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.314528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9004170.7%29 W · 12 L+7.4wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+41.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over60c1,925$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.319650%48 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over54c1,887$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.3634239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under40c1,731$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.35752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under41c1,675$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.8313839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under45c1,600$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7206369.8%44 W · 19 L+11.2wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under45c1,600$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7206170.5%43 W · 18 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over60c1,333$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.333450%17 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over51c1,248$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.525459.3%32 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under45c1,200$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5406666.7%44 W · 22 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under45c1,200$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5405666.1%37 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under53c1,199$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.8332650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Under42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over47c1,182$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.8213636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Under51c1,178$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under45c1,040$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4686465.6%42 W · 22 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under45c1,040$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4686070%42 W · 18 L+10.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Over54c1,007$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.181040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over51c1,003$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.6827453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47012357.7%71 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…2ec2backed Over53c999.98$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under45c900$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4057358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under45c900$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4056861.8%42 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over44c813.3$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.137051.4%36 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over60c810.38$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.1515244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35241954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over55c672.61$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.673441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under40c671.57$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.6338547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under46c660$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.836456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under45c640$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2885367.9%36 W · 17 L+8.3wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under45c624$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.86167.2%41 W · 20 L+9.0wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+34.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under45c624$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.85867.2%39 W · 19 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+32.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over58c608.73$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.017762.3%48 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30014748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under45c560$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525168.6%35 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+34.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over54c555$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.416936.2%25 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under28c541.53$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.748232.9%27 W · 55 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over59c538.84$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.563366.7%22 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over54c534.59$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.912161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under50c506$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25310759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d9e…3cb9backed Under42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+42.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Over55c499.98$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.997150.7%36 W · 35 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under42c482.11$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.977045.7%32 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Over60c480$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1923100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+113.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under35c471.43$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165387.9%3 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-56.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under47c422.27$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.478360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under46c422.19$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.586836.8%25 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over59c418.57$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.5919154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over44c406.1$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.429561.1%58 W · 37 L+14.4wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1924242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804669.6%32 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804866.7%32 W · 16 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+33.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804472.7%32 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+44.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under33c397.28$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.622545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Under43c387.13$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.842948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over44c383.6$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.829056.7%51 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Over56c352.36$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.53540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Under53c347.82$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+175.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Under45c340$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a67…52edbacked Under60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8bd…d868backed Under46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under45c320$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1442373.9%17 W · 6 L+5.3wins+0.23per pick51cpaid+53.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under40c302$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.7442347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9836…5765backed Under43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1291154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under47c255.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe762…064bbacked Under43c230.63$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.841963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under45c230.53$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.426040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.394339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over48c214.73$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7331958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cfe…5439backed Under50c209.8$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under45c209$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3191043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over60c207.68$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.07757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over53c198.78$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.335754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Under55c192.73$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+110.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Under52c187.98$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.751833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.198858%51 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1917354.3%94 W · 79 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.