Serie A · resolved market
Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x705ec2b255009267605e40ab68cd294d03a32555655bd05a3d6dc154609ecf1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64ce…944bbacked Over | 20c | 10,000$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 71c | 7,761$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.27 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 20c | 6,881$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.76 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 27c | 5,795$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 18c | 4,309$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.1 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Under | 80c | 4,054$3,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.74 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 78c | 2,407$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.8 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 9c | 1,005$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.08 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +14.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 78c | 859.5$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.18 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 9c | 699.42$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…ccbebacked Over | 16c | 554.32$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.11 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 16c | 494.1$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0621…0417backed Under | 80c | 461.73$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 71c | 420.64$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.52 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 12c | 416.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 18c | 416$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 79c | 414.98$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Under | 76c | 387.2$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 71c | 373$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.83 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 20c | 357.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 79c | 319.26$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…8b13backed Over | 12c | 284.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 77c | 209.52$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Under | 79c | 209.22$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 21c | 204.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…7188backed Over | 9c | 200.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 80c | 186$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…af1abacked Over | 29c | 173.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked Over | 13c | 163.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Over | 30c | 161.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 70c | 161$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 78c | 147.71$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…2eb1backed Under | 75c | 101.04$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 124 | 22.6%28 W · 96 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 28c | 89.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 17c | 86.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 18c | 76.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over | 17c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 18c | 63.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9e…3cb9backed Under | 74c | 62.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 19c | 59.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 18c | 56.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 78c | 48.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…b14dbacked Under | 79c | 32.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2912…6817backed Over | 34c | 32.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…4698backed Under | 76c | 26.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)Juventus FC won
- Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.