TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,029
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,229

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,029 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c20,201$11,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,042.852,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over50c13,474$6,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,685.23357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under40c8,902$3,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,588.121,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over36c4,771$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,071.373450%17 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0007358.9%43 W · 30 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x384f…58adbacked Over68c3,687$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Over66c3,030$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.37145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over30c2,784$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,951.6834239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3a…ccbebacked Under9c2,726$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.252356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under67c2,368$1,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,586.555151%26 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under44c2,261$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.11241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over33c1,818$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.181957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over44c1,564$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.063923.1%9 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97dc…d8a5backed Over65c1,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under66c1,415$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.3568750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb585…53edbacked Under66c1,061$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6907424.3%18 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Under43c895.09$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.4130%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0621…0417backed Under34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+39.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over24c782.5$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.27051.4%36 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over53c742.63$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.76757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Under48c675.82$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over58c638.31$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.093663.9%23 W · 13 L+6.3wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+43.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under65c550$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.7539354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Over35c539.97$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under64c442.4$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.7832854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under55c435.43$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.5740%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over36c416.67$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.672352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over32c413.44$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.1614442.4%61 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under67c404.43$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.882075%15 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaf72…af1abacked Over57c403.51$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.511553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+45.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over24c382.6$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.869561.1%58 W · 37 L+14.4wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Under40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba1b…82fdbacked Under76c368.42$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+66.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under68c361.48$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.0326040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6d7…715dbacked Over53c350.62$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Over36c310$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+113.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Under65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004365.1%28 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under58c283.76$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.5810759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde8e…3289backed Under68c279.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.694955.1%27 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under69c270.67$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1887248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c77…2eb1backed Under80c242.34$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.86850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Under34c234.75$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.665219.2%10 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over24c232.07$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.379056.7%51 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over24c229.83$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.0231958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over37c216.49$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.4913826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under68c207$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.7591043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10815042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over20c200$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16014748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe2…6829backed Under64c200$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1272552%13 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under68c196.16$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1342360.9%14 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…4698backed Over63c186.25$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.912240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x09c2…8210backed Under60c183.37$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over32c180.13$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.386836.8%25 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedc1…0145backed Over60c165.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Under60c162.51$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.12650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a67…52edbacked Under64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa10…8ee9backed Under70c142.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick73cpaid-53.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under49c135.79$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1511260.7%68 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf474…2775backed Under77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over64c117.19$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1919353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over49c116.74$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.79576.8%73 W · 22 L+20.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+49.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x90c8…4573backed Over64c114.27$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.14683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over34c113.73$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6121748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under69c113.1$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6936456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over30c105.05$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5442347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked Under68c99.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.995154.9%28 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under70c96.1$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4417354.3%94 W · 79 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27e2…20ccbacked Under58c84.48$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-38.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9522…7af0backed Under67c80$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.61369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Under64c80$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.093060%18 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under29c78.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8413350.4%67 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x033a…7188backed Over24c76.46$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.11450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under42c71.83$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5222545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4311955.5%66 W · 53 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+25.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over66c70$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.88242.7%35 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over36c69.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.445052%26 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over34c67.15$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.324170.7%29 W · 12 L+7.4wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+41.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf2df…0bbfbacked Under75c66.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb502…145cbacked Under63c61.84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under66c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.68962.9%56 W · 33 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xef89…4239backed Under79c55.7$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under51c55.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.073366.7%22 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under52c50.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.419154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over35c47.17$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.663050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under50c47.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5310262.7%64 W · 38 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over65c46.13$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1312347.2%58 W · 65 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over32c45.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.927762.3%48 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cdb…baebbacked Over57c42.11$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2997…cf48backed Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-62.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under69c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.47552%39 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over52c39.59$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1931738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4840…2473backed Over65c38.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under54c37.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.913157.3%75 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under50c36.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.349542.1%40 W · 55 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked Over44c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.61464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under50c34.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.437163.4%45 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Under50c33.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.643171%22 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x54d5…77d4backed Under65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.