South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Always Ready vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d4b6fbccede2c9a69d490f63f39c07d8587892997a4d96e925085ec25117488
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 17c | 1,300$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 75c | 471$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.95 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Over | 30c | 299.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 34c | 286.2$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 25c | 271.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 204.78$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 24c | 168.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e30…02a0backed Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 32c | 159.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 27c | 136.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 70c | 117.51$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Under | 63c | 101.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 31c | 97.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 43c | 92.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 15c | 89.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Under | 73c | 82.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 70c | 75.23$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Over | 29c | 68.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 71c | 67.72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 22c | 60.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…c953backed Over | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 25c | 43.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Under | 55c | 43.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 53c | 42.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 70c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 70c | 37.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 49c | 36.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 67c | 23.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…f7a9backed Under | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 71c | 15.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Always Ready vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Club Always Ready vs. Mirassol FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Always Ready vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Always Ready vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Always Ready vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Always Ready (-1.5)Mirassol FC won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)Club Always Ready won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-2.5)Club Always Ready won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.