South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Always Ready vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61f8031493889b338227fdf90a73a4c5f7869ab85c74dae4a54ce3942e48778e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Over | 62c | 5,687$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.73 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 22c | 4,051$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.33 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 37c | 3,979$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.88 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 1c | 2,943$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 2,102$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.6 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 13c | 1,483$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.85 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 17c | 1,038$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.28 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 26c | 893.51$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.72 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 75c | 462.2$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.68 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 10c | 382.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 76c | 358.42$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 75c | 332$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 64c | 324.5$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.02 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd32c…be8bbacked Over | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 78c | 268.54$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x3e02…3667backed Under | 8c | 262.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 68c | 259.74$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.12 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 76c | 257.06$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 32c | 253.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.33 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 74c | 222.47$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Under | 12c | 205.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 74c | 202.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 75c | 200.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268c…19aabacked Over | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…ffd7backed Over | 74c | 134.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 18c | 134$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 11c | 132$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Over | 56c | 119.55$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…5a8abacked Under | 27c | 103.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…c953backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 27c | 86.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 74c | 68.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 26c | 62.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Under | 36c | 47.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 74c | 45.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 70c | 36.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…ad2fbacked Over | 49c | 35.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 55c | 34.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 74c | 34.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 59c | 33.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…789abacked Over | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…3c1ebacked Over | 73c | 26.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e1…d473backed Over | 73c | 26.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…2dadbacked Over | 73c | 24.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…f78abacked Over | 73c | 24.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Over | 59c | 18.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 59c | 17.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8701…2075backed Over | 79c | 16.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Always Ready vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Club Always Ready vs. Mirassol FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Always Ready vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Always Ready vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Always Ready vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Always Ready (-1.5)Mirassol FC won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)Club Always Ready won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-2.5)Club Always Ready won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.