South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17e46e891bd53904b43197e4e770673a7576246cf3a9863014bba7ab1b8dbe05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Club Always Readyof Mirassol FC, Club Always Ready
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Mirassol FC | 28c | 456.13$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.7 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Club Always Ready | 67c | 355.53$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.41 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Club Always Ready | 57c | 300.85$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.51 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Mirassol FC | 52c | 268$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.36 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Club Always Ready | 66c | 194.51$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…4612backed Club Always Ready | 72c | 165.86$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Club Always Ready | 64c | 160.7$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Club Always Ready | 64c | 157.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Mirassol FC | 34c | 135.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe465…7f38backed Mirassol FC | 35c | 113.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Mirassol FC | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Mirassol FC | 34c | 94.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Club Always Ready | 65c | 79.08$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Club Always Ready | 64c | 76.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Club Always Ready | 67c | 76.7$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…e7e7backed Mirassol FC | 30c | 55.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Club Always Ready | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Mirassol FC | 36c | 41.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Mirassol FC | 36c | 31.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Mirassol FC | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Club Always Ready | 64c | 23.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)this page
- Club Always Ready vs. Mirassol FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Always Ready vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Always Ready vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Always Ready vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Always Ready vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Always Ready (-1.5)Mirassol FC won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-2.5)Club Always Ready won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.