TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Club Always Ready vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,707
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,264

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,707 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x82a5…674ebacked Under0c19,363$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1112755.1%70 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c8,315$4,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,530.85,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over24c4,726$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.469763.9%62 W · 35 L+13.3wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+47.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over64c4,720$3,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700.1624665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under29c2,746$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.4430048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c2,241$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.988,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over62c2,170$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.8613373.7%98 W · 35 L+22.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+30.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over67c1,640$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.3799259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over64c1,551$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.614161%86 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over72c1,528$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.0815768.2%107 W · 50 L+21.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c1,430$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.131,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked Under2c1,261$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.072330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+438.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over42c1,236$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.1810741.1%44 W · 63 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x168a…7e93backed Over65c840.39$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2982245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Over43c806.16$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.329652.1%50 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under45c687.86$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.482,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under68c579.42$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.531,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under37c548.83$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.9172350.5%365 W · 358 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over41c506.73$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.171,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under50c432.08$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.0417049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Under51c392.94$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over72c330.6$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7921765.4%142 W · 75 L+24.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under31c318.09$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4818828.7%54 W · 134 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over48c287.86$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.3978756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5ce…e232backed Under71c278.99$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.351250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Over74c262.88$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.932263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x886f…aa8fbacked Over56c225$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under44c225$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Over50c220$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1107748.1%37 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over65c218.46$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.461,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over51c193$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.912,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over48c192$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.293,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under53c188.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.96546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under47c156.03$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734850%24 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over24c150$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11444939.2%176 W · 273 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd250…b0a4backed Over79c136.97$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Under23c136.58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.315954.2%32 W · 27 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+30.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over36c134.54$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1126965.4%176 W · 93 L+48.9wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+40.5%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under50c126$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.613,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over65c117.06$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.071,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Under21c107.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.166315.9%10 W · 53 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2444…4252backed Under50c105.63$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.821040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over55c101.45$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6131355.6%174 W · 139 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Over50c97.78$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8910450%52 W · 52 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over41c96.6$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.997763.6%49 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over41c96.6$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9912958.1%75 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over57c81.36$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6133658.3%196 W · 140 L+32.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe401…af1bbacked Under53c78.49$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under48c68.96$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.349826.5%26 W · 72 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+5.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under52c67.97$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3414844.6%66 W · 82 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under47c61.15$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2922145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc482…f0bebacked Over51c58.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.756544.6%29 W · 36 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Under66c58.7$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.721936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-40.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c83…8380backed Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+60.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb361…c953backed Over41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over49c49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.992,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed Over31c48.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.721010%1 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-67.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over70c48.35$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.544156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Over43c46.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.494075%30 W · 10 L+8.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+60.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over43c46.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4920665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over43c46.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.498554.1%46 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe331…0163backed Over43c46.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.495464.8%35 W · 19 L+8.8wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+23.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked Over43c42.94$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.56453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x219c…fed6backed Over43c41.25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.511752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ece…0163backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over57c34.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7629362.5%183 W · 110 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over70c33.94$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1812545.6%57 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over50c33.6$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.817255.2%95 W · 77 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2102…087dbacked Under61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203941%16 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x564b…1e19backed Over45c32.36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.883259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd074…5a54backed Over71c32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.264484.1%37 W · 7 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Over34c31.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.953661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over49c31.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0967548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57e6…7c61backed Over42c30.72$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over44c29.55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5514352.4%75 W · 68 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x51ab…93c6backed Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.412157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over51c29.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.391,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under78c24.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9825866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over74c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.729457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Over50c21.94$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.979936.4%36 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under65c21.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8220958.4%122 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac97…0c75backed Over55c20.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.172250%11 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb097…99ffbacked Over80c17.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over70c17.73$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3220059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fd1…0604backed Over70c14.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.461080%8 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc5e…941dbacked Over78c13.89$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.