TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x168a…7e93

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: La Liga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 57 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$187.15
Will Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$122.56
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$867Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+81%+$702.03
Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.81
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$341.6
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.34
Club Always Ready vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$298
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.32
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.55
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.79
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$66.97
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+98.2%+$70.93
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$498.89
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.46
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$276.7
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.91
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$80.25
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+180.5%+$52.08
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.19
All 22 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.84
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.42
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$427.85
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$56.64
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$148.3
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.86
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+93.3%+$367.83
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$797Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$424.65
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$841Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$727.14
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+159.5%+$169.57
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+120%+$716.98
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.01
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+219.9%+$629.25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$729Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$728.83
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$647.78
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.57
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+201%+$355.74
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.63
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.6
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.12
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+400%+$515.74
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+49.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+174.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$604.7
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+253.2%+$379.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+97.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+158.6%+$160.62
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$19.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.