TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,839
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,649

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,839 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed No61c8,800$5,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,397.1928940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes54c6,203$3,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,824.728651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes39c3,640$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,220.641,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed No54c3,597$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.422254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes64c2,398$1,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.915,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes46c2,059$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.4175240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes55c1,866$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.888,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed No58c1,800$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0441250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes38c1,723$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.662,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes42c1,467$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.8618543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No61c1,250$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.581,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x973f…dc4ebacked No66c1,219$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8005646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x168a…7e93backed Yes57c1,154$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.892245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed No45c1,108$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.16946.4%32 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes35c874.29$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.295466.7%36 W · 18 L+7.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes37c800$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50412741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No26c796.27$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.581,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes35c725.52$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.5924665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes35c665.85$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.4919953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes66c639.39$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.398447.6%40 W · 44 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No3c631.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.212,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No6c603.64$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.941,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00fd…32a0backed Yes36c588.83$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.853040%12 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Yes37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.543046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a5…bac4backed No68c499.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.54633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid+25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes36c479$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.512,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16dd…c382backed Yes41c471.53$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.723100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+91.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes66c431$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.1726745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes66c410.15$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.372240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No53c399.99$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.9920065%130 W · 70 L+18.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes40c398.69$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.2114570.3%102 W · 43 L+22.6wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No33c368.18$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3316842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Yes65c367$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.265044%22 W · 28 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-16.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No36c356.71$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.211,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed Yes37c350$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.610157.4%58 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No38c343.5$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.176823.5%16 W · 52 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2c2…e9bfbacked Yes42c333$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.141540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Yes54c316.22$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.43850%19 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Yes65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes39c307$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.271,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…ce0abacked No66c297.56$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.393354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes59c222.16$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.66955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes79c212$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.526864.7%44 W · 24 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No60c177$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.238233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Yes37c172.1$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.421827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes34c169.38$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.791,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No63c158.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.131,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.853073.3%22 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes34c153.53$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.331,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes36c148.55$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.0442250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed No34c130$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.25129.4%15 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked Yes37c125.62$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1414254.9%78 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32e5…be5bbacked Yes41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.952556%14 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes63c107.54$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.353836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00a1…df06backed Yes38c100.15$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.094454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357256.9%41 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639657.3%55 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e6f…7248backed Yes65c92.42$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.42771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No52c91.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5421640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes37c90.7$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1426965.4%176 W · 93 L+48.9wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+40.5%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed No35c89.27$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.482948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e78…6acabacked Yes35c80$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed No66c76.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.383053.3%16 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed No66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No24c66.95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9119437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No17c65.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9427133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes34c62.44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.211,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed No48c61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.559457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes40c60$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3670055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3db…c173backed Yes35c56.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.423040%12 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No47c55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8519050.5%96 W · 94 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes63c52$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1551945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No60c51.54$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.921,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfddc…931abacked Yes41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.51566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+35.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3021844.5%97 W · 121 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf255…3561backed Yes41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.78933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f70…133ebacked No65c48.49$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.52650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8345…5cadbacked Yes41c47.56$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.061457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5617…a1f2backed Yes65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.15955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick69cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5b9…6de6backed Yes65c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No47c44.89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.11,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes35c44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.631355.6%174 W · 139 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Yes35c42.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.865322.6%12 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-33.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No67c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.815651.9%81 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No30c35.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.691,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No34c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.994848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb1…7505backed Yes41c34.15$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.15450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+99.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked No39c33.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.854156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b7a…52c9backed Yes35c31.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.43837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…abffbacked No46c30.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.21258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No42c27.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.61,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes61c26.49$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3330858.4%180 W · 128 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Yes55c22.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.198451.2%43 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes50c20.7$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3242946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Yes75c20.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.084075%30 W · 10 L+8.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+60.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes66c19.68$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6933365.5%218 W · 115 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4979…a668backed Yes65c18.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.45825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-55.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes62c17.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5719264.1%123 W · 69 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Yes65c15.46$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4112755.1%70 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.