South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Botafogo FR vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0b78e14b3d8c9baa8b447145ac80403cf14cb6e1809dcc414020583f774516c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 936.47$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.31 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 72c | 566.62$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.45 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…22e4backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 28c | 374.04$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.42 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 74c | 351.12$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.29 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 72c | 203.15$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.94 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 73c | 184.34$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…db68backed Yes | 26c | 180$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 112.13$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 26c | 107.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 18c | 96.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 70c | 86.94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 31c | 79.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 70c | 53.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0720…89a7backed Yes | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…88bdbacked Yes | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 69c | 45.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 35.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked No | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 69c | 30.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b5…18e2backed Yes | 38c | 26.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 69c | 22.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Botafogo FR vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?this page
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.