South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44c0bec6c5f4a8a23f0dee1cd4e7af1c4520374e7415e40abefa4dca701db6b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Yes | 2c | 11,410$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.1 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 67c | 4,405$2,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.46 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 2,513$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.5 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 31c | 2,403$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.44 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…8fd0backed Yes | 30c | 1,289$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.61 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 35cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 1,278$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.63 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 1,144$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.53 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 77c | 575.59$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.19 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 72c | 412.14$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.74 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…a9f4backed Yes | 23c | 381.65$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.65 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 30c | 365.47$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.64 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 6c | 340.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Yes | 35c | 287.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 70c | 272.8$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…909dbacked Yes | 34c | 252.94$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344c…c49dbacked Yes | 29c | 224.26$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked No | 77c | 195.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 70c | 194.75$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.43 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10a8…3275backed Yes | 33c | 184.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 37c | 183$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 181.75$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed Yes | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed No | 67c | 173$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 33c | 163$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 34c | 138.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…41adbacked Yes | 22c | 130.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 70c | 93.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 70c | 89.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 17c | 88.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 70c | 83.26$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 22c | 79.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 66c | 79.47$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 72c | 77.85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Yes | 20c | 76.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…3303backed Yes | 20c | 74.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb3…93e8backed Yes | 28c | 70.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…e209backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…5c7abacked Yes | 34c | 52.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 34c | 51.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ced…f3adbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…d05ebacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 71c | 33.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked No | 78c | 30.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 68c | 29.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 69c | 27.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 78c | 25.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 76c | 22.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 68c | 15.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 73c | 15.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will Botafogo FR vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?No won
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.