TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,264
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,947

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,264 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4956…e2c7backed Yes55c22,260$12,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,261.637950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes16c11,912$1,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,917.2675240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No42c6,371$2,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,699.3419952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes28c3,674$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.242,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No45c3,200$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes59c3,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,77030841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No65c2,841$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.821,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes44c2,461$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.587125.4%18 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No45c2,400$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32013059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes29c1,650$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.675,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No45c1,400$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77016558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes14c1,200$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.1699259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No45c1,200$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66024053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No45c1,196$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.711,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No45c1,184$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.212757.5%73 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No54c1,082$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.932,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No45c1,049$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.8723056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No44c1,040$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.415857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No50c1,000$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.3627133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55019559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015945.9%73 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No45c920$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50622457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No45c800$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44028851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No44c637.96$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.3210846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf887…db68backed Yes47c610$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33024956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33018358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No45c520$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28616559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No45c484.42$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.4323057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked No43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1210039%39 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No46c449$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.721,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No45c443.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.442250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes36c412$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4826745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No44c400$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22412741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No44c399.97$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.9824257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes57c383$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.311,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked No44c340$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.43652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Yes62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No45c320$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17621358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No45c312$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.621657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No45c312$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.620360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No45c280$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15422058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No45c277$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.351,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No45c277$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.351,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No78c268$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8228443%122 W · 162 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x168a…7e93backed Yes26c260.73$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.462245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No45c245$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7513545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75c1…22e4backed No44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.272045%9 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11015560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11018959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed Yes58c198.27$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.812821.4%6 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No45c194$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.72,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Yes57c190.54$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6133266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Yes37c186$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.825044%22 W · 28 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-16.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No50c174.88$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.581,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009148.4%44 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No44c162.59$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.931,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes56c132.8$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.071,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes55c119.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9926749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed No42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked No45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.119256.5%52 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes55c109.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4525955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No69c101.28$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6533365.5%218 W · 115 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ce6…8e94backed No45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.51533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5621844.5%97 W · 121 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd0…4303backed Yes55c90.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes61c90$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.931349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32e5…be5bbacked Yes57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502556%14 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes14c84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.766864.7%44 W · 24 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Yes62c83.33$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.663053.3%16 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes60c80$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.615651.9%81 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No45c80$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4413465.7%88 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x628d…a012backed Yes40c79.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326836.8%25 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Yes57c78.95$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4515041.3%62 W · 88 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x973f…dc4ebacked Yes30c77.29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.365646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed No45c76$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.82748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c6…3a8fbacked No49c74.49$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.992045%9 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No44c65$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.45855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No61c62.26$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.41,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No48c60.59$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6613828.3%39 W · 99 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92b1…94acbacked Yes51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.61723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.26per pick50cpaid-54.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcaee…9c5fbacked No45c59.29$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.61742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+27.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes56c59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.048855.7%49 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a4c…1940backed Yes59c56.17$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.148858%51 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea47…d64bbacked Yes57c54.01$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.792748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes22c52.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2971619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2751945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2219460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2211459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2212761.4%78 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes48c38.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.511,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No44c35.71$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe32…0300backed Yes57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd840…1ec6backed No42c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.32653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes46c32.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513739.4%54 W · 83 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No45c32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.617960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87e4…85f8backed No55c31.23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No44c30.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.089741.2%40 W · 57 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.