TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,214,453
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,252,166

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,214,453 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 384 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbee5…a636backed Yes45c577,785$259,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317,905.85425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd29…77aebacked Yes40c149,975$60,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,677.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+45.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed Yes45c119,395$53,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,043.094100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+116.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No55c114,506$62,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,978.542236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No55c100,000$55,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,0002045%9 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No56c95,622$53,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,240.262648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed No55c84,343$46,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,388.651421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-47.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4da7…7abdbacked No55c69,000$37,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,950650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+39.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No55c40,000$22,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,999.991838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No58c38,030$22,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,025.31241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No51c33,730$17,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,087.551,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes43c30,877$13,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,582.915651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No55c30,000$16,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,50020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No55c26,506$14,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,648.995257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No55c23,175$12,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,746.255040%20 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked No54c23,105$12,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,578.88757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No52c21,415$11,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,160.121,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No57c20,310$11,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,576.72642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No55c19,813$10,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,897.013450%17 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No58c19,180$11,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,208.991338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes39c18,000$7,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,9804045%18 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No56c16,878$9,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,449.9887344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No58c14,420$8,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,363.582437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d91…a5fdbacked Yes45c14,386$6,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,957.773100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+97.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No59c12,118$7,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,110.233354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked No59c10,000$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,900475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+72.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed No55c9,675$5,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,321.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No55c9,381$5,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,159.513756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked No55c9,091$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked No61c8,707$5,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,311.32666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+42.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No55c8,589$4,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,765.1818351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No61c8,111$4,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,968.5752550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No56c7,595$4,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,253.22536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No60c7,497$4,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,531.196347.6%30 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x087d…b872backed No55c6,300$3,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,465250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes46c5,556$2,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,004.062360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No57c5,422$3,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10828448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Yes38c5,263$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,263.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1537…c480backed No60c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0133…64bcbacked Yes65c4,890$3,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700.4757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No63c4,800$3,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,023.984548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No62c4,736$2,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,936.322944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes44c4,686$2,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,628.876942%29 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7304…0379backed No60c4,200$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,52010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No53c4,104$2,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,182.35757.9%33 W · 24 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No60c3,936$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.83948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes46c3,673$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.23080%24 W · 6 L+7.8wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+64.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed No41c3,636$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Yes42c3,312$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.862263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Yes46c3,261$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.872100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No59c3,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7705547.3%26 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed No61c3,000$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8301338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes39c2,924$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,783.5523250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No58c2,875$1,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.914151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No60c2,800$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6805151%26 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked No38c2,782$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.114245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No60c2,400$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4405151%26 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No61c2,364$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.287946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No59c2,178$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.0316644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes42c2,100$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2182259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No55c2,020$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.762842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2002356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2003250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0801566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes42c2,000$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1641346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed No61c1,996$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.791050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+42.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked No60c1,981$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.63627.8%10 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No61c1,977$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.2130448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No58c1,888$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.0324642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No42c1,884$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.713847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No56c1,881$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.368254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Yes45c1,843$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.712972.4%21 W · 8 L+6.1wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+57.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No49c1,827$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.241747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001442.9%6 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-41%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x635e…0438backed Yes40c1,805$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.21850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No55c1,804$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.2812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick39cpaid-66.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No56c1,771$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.412963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No55c1,747$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.851330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No62c1,622$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.876443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No60c1,600$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9605251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No60c1,600$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9604854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No53c1,599$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.6422745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No50c1,545$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8256553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99eb…0464backed No55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes61c1,273$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.8448649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No55c1,229$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.849046.7%42 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No63c1,200$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7563737.8%14 W · 23 L-6.2wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No60c1,200$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7204951%25 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No60c1,200$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7204548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc16a…d1e4backed No25c1,199$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.14742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa160…442bbacked No55c1,140$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No58c1,118$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.4335157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No56c1,067$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.541250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No60c1,040$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6244447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No60c1,040$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6244753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes63c1,032$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.75560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33dc…ac64backed Yes42c1,029$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6206654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57012647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.