TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$143,875
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,012

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,875 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes28c89,632$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0004139%16 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c20,240$14,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,667.262648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No74c10,806$7,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,848.881,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No74c8,438$6,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,217.7222745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No72c6,400$4,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7926347.6%30 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c5,411$3,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.152550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c5,362$3,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,486.6187344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No72c4,800$3,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3444548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e1…62a2backed No77c3,464$2,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.72360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No72c3,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.992466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No72c2,800$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7845151%26 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No72c2,400$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6725151%26 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No72c2,368$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.042944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No72c2,345$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.68143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No77c2,291$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.421,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe54…3eddbacked Yes28c2,054$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5603250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No77c1,930$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.235846.6%27 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes20c1,826$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.1929637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No72c1,707$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.1830448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes1c1,702$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.561225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-54.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9976…59acbacked Yes1c1,665$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No73c1,660$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.226354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No72c1,600$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4485251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No72c1,600$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4484854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes1c1,332$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No72c1,200$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3364951%25 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes28c1,200$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-49.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No72c1,200$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3364548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes26c1,047$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.2218046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No72c1,040$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.24447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No72c1,040$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.24753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes28c1,000$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.8140%0 W · 14 L-4.6wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8953…9b78backed Yes26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2806654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No72c972$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.169553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked No72c954.61$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.29955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+58.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Yes21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes27c925.93$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No72c900$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2526357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No72c900$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2526051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes26c689.5$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.111833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No73c654.54$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.7745233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No75c654.2$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.591747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b29…556ebacked Yes23c652.2$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15040%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No72c640$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.25251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No72c624$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.725552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No72c624$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.724953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes27c550.47$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.631838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes25c532.21$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes17c507.35$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2511725.6%30 W · 87 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No74c491.48$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7913250.8%67 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ced…9753backed Yes24c478$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.31520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-72.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No77c477.12$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.713847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa03f…fa16backed Yes23c473.91$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes27c469.26$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.723250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c439.11$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.1838056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e82…af92backed No73c400$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No72c400$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1124847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No72c400$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1124553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007343.8%32 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No72c320$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.65352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No72c320$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.64650%23 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No72c320$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.64252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No72c316.11$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1823342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753432.4%11 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes23c297.92$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.633135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No74c278$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.285261.5%32 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No72c264$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1727748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No73c255.83$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.077946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes28c250.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-28.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes21c229.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.282231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5214544.8%65 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No72c199.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No72c197$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.163948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Yes24c194.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.64137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No80c177.9$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.582466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed No73c176.71$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.71650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes27c163.95$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.275651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No72c160$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.83652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No74c152.91$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7612963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf23a…d412backed Yes28c150$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No73c150$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8816448.8%80 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No75c147.35$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2418351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes13c146.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de1…2dd4backed Yes22c140.91$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No74c140.78$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.61450%7 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No77c135.6$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.943268.8%22 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd25a…7f71backed No79c131.2$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Yes22c125.54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes23c123.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0748649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed No74c121.5$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.592152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa67…d948backed No74c121.5$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.59560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No72c120$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.69954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed Yes19c107.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.43540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes28c107.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9910640.6%43 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.