TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$236,567
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$265,546

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,567 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed No3c33,338$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.1416045%72 W · 88 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No16c25,804$4,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,089.594264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes65c19,072$12,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,758.712070%14 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No28c11,528$3,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,227.882,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No19c9,890$1,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,863.0148141.8%201 W · 280 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed No3c7,693$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+37.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes20c6,690$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,352.363125.8%8 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Yes64c5,008$3,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,781.121258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No1c4,774$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.746010%6 W · 54 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+119.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No79c4,332$3,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,442.721,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No80c4,246$3,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,377.9120845.7%95 W · 113 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes24c4,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0405952.5%31 W · 28 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No76c3,219$2,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,446.1169851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes73c3,060$2,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.3928345.2%128 W · 155 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb0…34ecbacked No80c2,913$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,330.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No34c2,705$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.171,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked No15c2,429$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.3830%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed No1c2,400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.87338.4%28 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes20c2,207$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,765.862133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c72…46dbbacked No80c2,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No30c1,705$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes66c1,667$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.675147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes20c1,467$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.9311354.9%62 W · 51 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No34c1,431$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.671,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes21c1,330$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.817538.7%29 W · 46 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed No79c999.98$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.981822.2%4 W · 14 L-5.0wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-60.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed No78c974.36$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x168a…7e93backed No3c962.08$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.86650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+49.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No11c921.91$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.556232.3%20 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No47c818.29$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.6611356.6%64 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed No19c714.85$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.82333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Yes70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.29850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Yes21c706.73$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.322540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed No17c654.3$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.89922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-59.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbdaf…e58fbacked No76c634.2$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.9940%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Yes21c525.9$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.461450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked No63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3155356.6%30 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes22c479.98$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.9916343.6%71 W · 92 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d7…2968backed Yes21c476.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.19650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+125.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a30…34b1backed Yes64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.75862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No79c448.75$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.5129855.4%165 W · 133 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7617549.1%86 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No36c415.64$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.3843532.2%140 W · 295 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked No79c414.02$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.081050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed No10c405.84$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.454339.5%17 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes75c375.62$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.465246.2%24 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes67c375.19$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.464100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+139.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x461e…5ce2backed No80c375$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4538…7d5cbacked Yes68c375$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick58cpaid+45%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No78c362$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.367443.2%32 W · 42 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No27c351.16$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.769354.8%51 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No15c343.21$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.794544.4%20 W · 25 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b33…044ebacked No60c339.76$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No79c319.99$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.7928755.1%158 W · 129 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No79c305.69$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.514364.3%92 W · 51 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+24.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes20c300$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2408756.3%49 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfded…4c93backed Yes64c280.27$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.273100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No78c280$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.419254.7%105 W · 87 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes44c253.61$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.0853140.7%216 W · 315 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No13c250.52$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.33046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked No80c250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013066.9%87 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29fb…4930backed Yes21c238.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.11723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9976…59acbacked No56c226$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.3930%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8eea…df80backed Yes69c217.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No49c205.28$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.674257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Yes70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15f3…c9d2backed No79c200$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.35per pick46cpaid-79.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No26c166.97$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8639857.5%229 W · 169 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30dc…9fa0backed No80c162.5$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-36.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No48c161.29$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.917455.4%41 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d4f…e9f1backed Yes21c155.95$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+75.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No11c151.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8533737.4%126 W · 211 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23e2…9ecdbacked Yes63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.51947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No34c132.97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.986937.7%26 W · 43 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No35c131$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8514315.4%22 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b95…6907backed Yes64c125.8$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d7b…a772backed Yes64c118.66$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Yes20c116.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8812056.7%68 W · 52 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c3a…8ab7backed Yes67c114.93$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No79c112.3$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5442046.4%195 W · 225 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa05b…deb0backed No76c111.04$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No29c110$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.486640.9%27 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x037f…dd7ebacked Yes23c110$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No41c105.89$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3114755.8%82 W · 65 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes21c102.86$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6220645.6%94 W · 112 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+70.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked No35c99.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3534655.5%192 W · 154 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No77c99.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.994075%30 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes22c99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.228451.2%43 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes21c98.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1911338.9%44 W · 69 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes79c97.86$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.145653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No41c97.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1327554.9%151 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2716…a6f4backed Yes21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.241250%6 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+35.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20b3…93cbbacked Yes66c90.44$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d52…aabbbacked Yes69c89.39$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No79c85.56$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5933047.3%156 W · 174 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No61c80$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9817456.9%99 W · 75 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No79c79.23$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4116846.4%78 W · 90 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.