Bundesliga · resolved market
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf091717c10fdd04c1d1b4ecfc716ccee83d0ad66d86bc35ac07dc98c56f3e21e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,298,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,399,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,298,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 385 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbee5…a636backed Yes | 60c | 1,844,982$1,115,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115,707.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 40c | 257,439$102,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155,432.25 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 40c | 228,127$91,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136,876.2 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 39c | 179,000$70,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,410 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 39c | 142,258$55,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,777.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed No | 41c | 122,137$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,136.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 39c | 111,271$43,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,470.57 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 39c | 100,000$39,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,000 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 40c | 100,000$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,000 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 40c | 82,005$32,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,202.95 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…7abdbacked No | 40c | 76,130$30,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,935.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 69,812$27,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,137.71 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 63,471$39,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,724.59 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed Yes | 59c | 62,887$37,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,103.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 39c | 60,000$23,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,600 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 40c | 50,100$20,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,060 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked No | 40c | 37,500$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…9a04backed No | 40c | 24,886$9,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,931.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 60c | 22,218$13,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,223.92 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 46c | 19,909$9,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,708.15 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 19,786$8,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,412.92 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 39c | 19,144$7,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,677.84 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 42c | 18,887$7,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,047.98 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 39c | 18,078$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,027.58 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 39c | 17,930$7,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,900.9 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 40c | 17,796$7,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,744.07 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes | 59c | 17,500$10,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,325 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9828…0f7ebacked No | 39c | 16,700$6,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,187 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 39c | 16,479$6,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,052.45 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 40c | 16,446$6,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,837.97 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 41c | 13,933$5,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,257.33 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 41c | 13,210$5,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,824.44 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 39c | 12,500$4,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,625 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 40c | 8,851$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,310.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…f06dbacked No | 39c | 8,834$3,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,388.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 39c | 8,300$3,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,063 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 40c | 7,950$3,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,809.01 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 39c | 7,176$2,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,377.36 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 40c | 6,400$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed No | 39c | 5,830$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,556.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed No | 39c | 5,810$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,544.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Yes | 51c | 4,840$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 40c | 4,800$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c8…a9ffbacked No | 50c | 4,555$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 47c | 3,886$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.17 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 40c | 3,644$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,186.41 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2d…6443backed No | 39c | 3,632$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.77 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 41c | 3,411$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.49 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 41c | 3,400$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.82 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed No | 40c | 3,238$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.83 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 40c | 3,200$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 51c | 3,126$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.91 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 40c | 2,962$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.66 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 40c | 2,800$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec8…762abacked Yes | 11c | 2,753$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 58c | 2,674$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.32 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 40c | 2,660$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.1 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 40c | 2,550$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.76 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed No | 39c | 2,515$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.69 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed Yes | 40c | 2,443$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 40c | 2,400$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 39c | 2,368$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.48 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 50c | 2,271$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.15 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 48c | 2,178$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.72 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 41c | 2,128$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.24 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked No | 40c | 2,052$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.38 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 69c | 2,028$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.41 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,980$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 63c | 1,948$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.07 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 7c | 1,842$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 39c | 1,826$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.86 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 39c | 1,753$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.93 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 47c | 1,671$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.79 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0c…ba73backed Yes | 48c | 1,670$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f9…26f8backed No | 49c | 1,642$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 40c | 1,600$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 40c | 1,600$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…457bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 28c | 1,462$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 68c | 1,363$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.38 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 47c | 1,269$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 40c | 1,040$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 40c | 1,040$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Yes | 15c | 1,024$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed No | 41c | 1,000$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…57c8backed No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Yes | 39c | 999.96$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 33c | 965.02$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.28 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 38c | 928.66$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.89 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Yes | 61c | 925.2$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.29 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?No won
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.