Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeac7038dcc1bc264142a2366be0ed7db8de59152092b4e19d54b10bb3569e778
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 80c | 2,312$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.29 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a44…8985backed Yes | 21c | 2,152$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Yes | 21c | 1,810$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 11c | 1,447$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.27 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 79c | 1,308$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.64 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…2928backed Yes | 11c | 1,139$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.66 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 20c | 958.55$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 843.6$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.79 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…01dcbacked Yes | 21c | 654.43$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 535.81$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.52 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 25c | 458.12$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.53 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 450$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Yes | 21c | 445.23$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 79c | 440$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 79c | 399.99$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 14c | 385.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 13c | 313.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 21c | 304.52$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.95 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 4c | 302.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72e6…7bf4backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 16c | 262$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +193.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 24c | 246$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 243.39$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 79c | 142.86$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 100.75$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…1df8backed No | 80c | 100.63$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 18c | 99.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…4e8bbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 79c | 60.62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…cc73backed Yes | 19c | 51.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…b9debacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 79c | 35.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 79c | 29.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked No | 80c | 24.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…b240backed No | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?this page
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.