TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$261,988
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$288,993

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,988 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No48c25,457$12,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,273.615,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes79c21,665$17,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,559.230048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No8c20,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70031643%136 W · 180 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed Yes63c19,725$12,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,229.567950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Yes62c9,264$5,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,491.4110446.2%48 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No32c6,570$2,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,107.322,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes76c5,722$4,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.1631349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No22c5,628$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.1211230.4%34 W · 78 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-41%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed No65c5,145$3,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,331.185660.7%34 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Yes62c4,915$3,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.311145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes33c4,836$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,251.2342962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes63c4,320$2,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.5519846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b9e…6838backed Yes45c4,013$1,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,203.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+149.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x219c…fed6backed Yes50c3,580$1,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.41752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d7…47cbbacked No18c2,951$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.11526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked No23c2,813$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.992227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes63c2,726$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.581,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes76c2,607$1,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.5199259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No37c2,532$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.5214330.8%44 W · 99 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No63c2,347$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.0317055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No37c2,280$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.643,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No65c2,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29033745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No57c1,980$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.791,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes69c1,536$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.21,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes74c1,523$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.378,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8a…2650backed No42c1,479$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes51c1,398$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.121765.4%142 W · 75 L+24.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed No38c1,352$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.836946.4%32 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes71c1,296$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.462,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes78c1,163$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.821,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No37c1,145$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.6465058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No36c1,123$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.6237540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes76c1,094$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.4750643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No37c1,081$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9927349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No36c972.22$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010467.3%70 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No36c964.08$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35027549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8d…acc4backed No24c956$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.594852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1acc…8fe0backed No64c939.59$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.482646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Yes65c927.27$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.833046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51a3…9c26backed Yes80c923.61$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.91771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No38c885.6$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.511,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No47c856$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.5614540%58 W · 87 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No14c849$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9524665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6871…e9dcbacked Yes18c824.7$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.251127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick20cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes73c779.86$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.9989645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed No13c769$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.974075%30 W · 10 L+8.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+60.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xe331…0163backed No13c769$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.975464.8%35 W · 19 L+8.8wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+23.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No13c769$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9715768.2%107 W · 50 L+21.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb86f…da81backed Yes39c758.08$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.081136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No44c719.93$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.651,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8867…518cbacked No41c668$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.88425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No37c623.08$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.5442250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No64c601.98$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.366056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes34c588.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.2319963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No44c580.06$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.61,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes40c576.85$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.644231%13 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3404…3a93backed Yes35c566.81$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+41.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes72c562.29$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.1457540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No37c552.02$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.581,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x565a…3207backed No39c544.41$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.76650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed No55c511.5$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.71656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No23c509.17$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.116357.1%36 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No40c479.97$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9913545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab30…88dbbacked No47c423.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No41c420.45$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.872,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa96f…0cd0backed Yes61c382.91$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.912454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00fd…32a0backed Yes57c350.87$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.293040%12 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b3…7650backed Yes53c349.06$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.061050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes64c347.6$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.661,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No29c341.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.017763.6%49 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No29c336.15$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1612958.1%75 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked No33c309.01$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8629362.5%183 W · 110 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked No38c300$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.362450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed No40c284.9$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No28c269.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9813248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yes79c265.1$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7925866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes78c264.71$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6435046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes65c262.86$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.314570.3%102 W · 43 L+22.6wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes79c255.18$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.113836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+35.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Yes60c244.38$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7510039%39 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbfc…b095backed Yes63c241.78$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.461513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick31cpaid-76.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Yes60c241$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Yes63c239.99$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.83652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed Yes63c239.99$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.82821.4%6 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No38c229.07$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.81,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2234backed No32c227.62$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.223650%18 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+40.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No32c217.73$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7115247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No44c211.04$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8214022.1%31 W · 109 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No47c199.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked No21c199.62$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.921553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked No20c198.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.671464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31cb…a34bbacked No40c193.27$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.312842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked No17c190.04$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3312755.1%70 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed No36c189.46$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.21338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked No32c174$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.677328.8%21 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No67c170.98$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.8314254.9%78 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No32c170.17$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2894848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcaea…5795backed Yes62c160.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.054228.6%12 W · 30 L-6.8wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-50.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed No21c159.62$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.921275%9 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes65c154.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1789846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.