South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Always Ready vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde336c2af59474e1abd5ee140bab6d257d6ef20f287dec870e4b5c49aefe2ea8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 51c | 7,070$3,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,624.04 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 74c | 5,156$3,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.91 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 20c | 4,451$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.51 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 10c | 3,294$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.87 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 42c | 3,149$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.58 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 57c | 2,651$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.58 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 2,368$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.73 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a3…9c26backed Yes | 64c | 1,716$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 58c | 1,415$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.51 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 74c | 1,274$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.48 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 759.73$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.34 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8d…5b22backed Yes | 24c | 670.37$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 15c | 649.53$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed No | 78c | 543.25$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.51 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 77c | 482.55$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.71 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 413.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.21 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 77c | 366$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.18 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 63c | 343.99$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.44 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e02…3667backed Yes | 11c | 337.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 19c | 299.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 76c | 297$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 44c | 279.82$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.93 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 12c | 226.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 74c | 203.2$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 27c | 201.66$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 73c | 170.92$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 47c | 166.39$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.85 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 76c | 160.15$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 25c | 151.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 77c | 145.33$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 75c | 143.38$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 76c | 137.92$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…2ebdbacked No | 78c | 134.4$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…3e9cbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 73c | 118.24$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 42c | 107$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 73c | 104.15$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed Yes | 24c | 101.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 76c | 91.27$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 77c | 90.11$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 74c | 88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 16c | 87.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a0…f156backed No | 60c | 78.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 44c | 73.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 75c | 69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0374…10e8backed Yes | 16c | 64.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 78c | 62.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 26c | 56.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 29c | 46.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7d…26c4backed No | 78c | 45.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb3…93e8backed Yes | 47c | 42.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2b…769cbacked Yes | 24c | 41.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Yes | 45c | 37.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked No | 74c | 35.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c4…622fbacked No | 73c | 33.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +130.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 79c | 33.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 75c | 32.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Yes | 55c | 31.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe516…14ffbacked Yes | 64c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 76c | 25.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 75c | 22.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed Yes | 48c | 22.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 61c | 20.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed No | 77c | 17.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 78c | 17.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 67c | 16.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Always Ready vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-05-19?No won
- Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.