TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,658,312
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,807,527

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,658,312 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 901 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5af4…a7dfbacked Yes78c177,382$138,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,023.994100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+77.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe26c…88cfbacked No21c170,065$35,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,747.5450%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes77c130,000$100,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,656.86757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No23c110,677$25,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,954.1710539%41 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes77c105,931$81,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,364.145964.4%38 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked No23c105,349$23,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,850.97540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No22c99,999$22,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,999.695242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes77c66,159$51,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,100.883450%17 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No23c60,000$13,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,799.995831%18 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid+1.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes78c54,779$42,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,002.8919840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No23c51,730$11,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,8981414.3%2 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.30per pick45cpaid-73.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No25c51,120$12,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,836.846023.3%14 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Yes78c42,735$33,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,401.622075%15 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No23c38,100$8,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,7636243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes78c31,195$24,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,732.415459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No23c30,804$6,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,983.12,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No22c29,436$6,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,487.997321.9%16 W · 57 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe4ea…7f3bbacked Yes74c28,342$20,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,473.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No13c28,250$3,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,672.481020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-53.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4900…4a72backed Yes78c28,180$22,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,102.94366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No20c22,222$4,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,444.371752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No20c22,041$4,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,497.061,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Yes78c16,026$12,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,525.642951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No23c15,600$3,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5881729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed No22c15,600$3,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,431.992441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes78c15,226$11,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,281.631,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Yes77c15,000$11,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4502100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c58…a5a1backed Yes77c15,000$11,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4501464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked No0c13,932$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.93812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-76%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa00…f736backed Yes77c13,669$10,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,143.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No23c13,200$3,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0368828.4%25 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No24c12,881$3,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,112.2815051.3%77 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe16e…c3c7backed No22c12,500$2,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,687.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No15c12,178$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.0983444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes76c12,000$9,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8803839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No21c12,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.996746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No24c11,971$2,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,896.9913844.9%62 W · 76 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No17c8,929$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516.883,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No23c8,803$2,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,024.7440357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce8…31f1backed Yes77c8,042$6,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.77250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes76c7,756$5,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,845.2644039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Yes76c7,509$5,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.266468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes77c7,500$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7008246.3%38 W · 44 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x530c…89f1backed Yes77c7,143$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,642.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…a8bcbacked Yes74c6,701$4,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,742.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes79c6,519$5,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.6822859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes76c6,455$4,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.250449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes78c6,410$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.2622455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked No22c6,300$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x987c…cd13backed No24c6,134$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No22c6,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.995853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No22c6,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.986051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No22c6,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.955750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed No23c5,965$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.443240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed No20c5,601$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.171233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No23c5,120$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.63135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No26c5,076$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.341,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Yes79c5,064$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17d6…f1e2backed No9c5,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes76c5,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2002050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked No21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked No23c5,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.973548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf56b…ac88backed No23c4,783$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.99425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No29c4,680$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.1721322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8310…c875backed Yes78c4,590$3,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.742352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed No22c4,587$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.152733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-45.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No23c4,532$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.8968450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8323…6753backed Yes67c4,427$2,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No22c4,263$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.962853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Yes78c4,185$3,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.121127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes77c4,015$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.7922448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7906…be5dbacked Yes78c4,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8801100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed No21c4,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+22.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbaa…cbeabacked Yes80c3,933$3,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.611338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b39…54c1backed Yes77c3,851$2,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Yes76c3,500$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8403857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No24c3,333$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.916740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes71c3,100$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8996051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30f8…5edbbacked Yes79c3,059$2,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.491478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Yes77c3,056$2,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.76450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No21c3,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.9914348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked No22c2,800$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6161729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Yes78c2,742$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.98956.2%50 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes75c2,650$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.051266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4607…d542backed Yes77c2,599$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.19977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+41.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b07…a7c5backed Yes77c2,597$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No22c2,560$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.248251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bc5…28a8backed Yes79c2,532$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Yes80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Yes80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe970…d76abacked Yes80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002080%16 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed No22c2,487$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.051241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes74c2,483$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.532433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Yes78c2,399$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.077157.7%41 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Yes77c2,363$1,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.451369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick75cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked Yes80c2,362$1,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.37683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+36.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d1…c0f2backed Yes74c2,299$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.7540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked No22c2,259$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.95246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No23c2,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013445.5%61 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Yes77c2,208$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.794055%22 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.