La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81139b9ee28c0bc4b74fb53f02974fab9037b84369c4d5c7072fc18744f7e7f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes | 14c | 35,099$4,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,913.83 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 13c | 7,202$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.22 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 14c | 4,701$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.14 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 14c | 3,944$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.63 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 79c | 2,202$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.43 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Yes | 14c | 1,266$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.29 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 15c | 1,146$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 3c | 1,132$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 128 | 23.4%30 W · 98 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…f8c8backed Yes | 2c | 1,115$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4791…02b4backed Yes | 15c | 776.79$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +111.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 14c | 714$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…49e2backed Yes | 14c | 575.71$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb940…85bfbacked Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c2…3a29backed Yes | 15c | 474$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 13c | 470$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Yes | 12c | 467.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefd9…4e22backed Yes | 11c | 458.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6833…2011backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Yes | 13c | 373.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a29…aab7backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked Yes | 15c | 294.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 9c | 261.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 99 | 31.3%31 W · 68 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…4292backed Yes | 11c | 211.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…0efebacked Yes | 16c | 206.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 19cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c44…4b9dbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 13c | 162.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…2641backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad4…f77dbacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…291dbacked Yes | 16c | 145.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacfc…f2fdbacked Yes | 14c | 142.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 12c | 132.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 143 | 33.6%48 W · 95 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 20c | 125.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 126 | 26.2%33 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc16a…d1e4backed Yes | 24c | 117.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…bf06backed Yes | 15c | 113.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 14c | 112.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 13c | 112$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ab…2554backed Yes | 15c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c70…9a6cbacked Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41d3…3db7backed Yes | 15c | 109.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6d…fc98backed Yes | 12c | 107.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…bef4backed Yes | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f27…fc32backed Yes | 15c | 103$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…dd2bbacked Yes | 15c | 102.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa12b…a7aebacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24fc…a5f2backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec2…00f6backed Yes | 15c | 99.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 25c | 98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 14c | 95.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 337 | 34.7%117 W · 220 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…61a7backed Yes | 14c | 92.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…a36fbacked Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 79c | 79.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9411…bfe2backed Yes | 15c | 78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 14c | 75.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba99…8f26backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 15c | 70.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 79c | 62.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe21c…3fd3backed Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?this page
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?Yes won
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.