TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,589
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,134

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,589 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdf80…3259backed No0c13,761$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0510446.2%48 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No17c6,481$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.88,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes79c5,166$4,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.782,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No15c5,114$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.25,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed No29c3,448$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.271145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No45c2,388$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.6616647%78 W · 88 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No20c1,450$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.031,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes54c1,196$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.5911855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No47c963.59$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.611,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No26c925.13$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.585957.6%34 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No45c924.06$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.8321345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed No26c800$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20848922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed No17c587.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.796946.4%32 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes55c476.36$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No7c438.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.517722.1%17 W · 60 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No4c425.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9219953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18018543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked No4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515945.9%73 W · 86 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc15…03d8backed Yes56c367.14$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe44c…32a5backed No9c335.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick8cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168a…7e93backed No45c287.23$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.912245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Yes57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1610039%39 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a4c…1940backed Yes76c262.14$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.918858%51 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4099…8c46backed No5c239.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26cb…9fe7backed Yes54c235.19$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.194643.5%20 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes55c221.82$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.829547.4%45 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No46c217.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.977060%42 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No46c212.98$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9712741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No13c210.63$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.052,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No45c205$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2513545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No52c199.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1049657.3%55 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Yes77c196$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.145044%22 W · 28 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-16.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6797…e0e5backed Yes56c182.14$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.142564%16 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes55c178.07$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.131,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No47c173.09$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6621844.5%97 W · 121 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Yes55c153.15$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.92955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No46c152.81$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.831,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x697e…9904backed No24c141.67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No9c138.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.581,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No12c120.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4451945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.215651.9%81 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No18c115.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1671619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No48c107.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.842,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa90…7f0bbacked Yes51c105.13$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.01837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No38c100.26$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.571,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc92d…9691backed Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456958%40 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbc…c382backed Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a51…1933backed Yes48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+80.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152646.2%12 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+65.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.299256.5%52 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes55c86.64$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9928940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c2…e9bfbacked Yes48c80.89$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.061540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No49c67.01$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6642250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes71c65.24$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8710875%81 W · 27 L+16.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Yes74c58.68$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.553661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32b5…b692backed No31c57.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-33.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8f5e…e107backed Yes63c57.13$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.131838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No28c56.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.737748.1%37 W · 40 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No26c55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0994848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a1…df06backed Yes55c50.68$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.814454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2320142.3%85 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No47c49.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4910847.2%51 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No43c49.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.191,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed No31c47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.563256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes54c46.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.410846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1db…fdb0backed Yes55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.451050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaea…5795backed Yes56c41.07$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.074228.6%12 W · 30 L-6.8wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-50.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No45c40.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2629053.8%156 W · 134 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0891…f906backed Yes54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed5…2aa3backed Yes56c39.29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.292759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcde8…aa8fbacked Yes54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes57c33.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3311849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70dc…5828backed No46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd354…4d78backed Yes52c29.88$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5617…a1f2backed Yes74c29.36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.63955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick69cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No43c24.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7418557.8%107 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes51c24.88$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1970055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Yes55c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.92850%14 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff67…a1c9backed Yes55c20.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.125648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes53c20.12$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.434155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf7…824ebacked Yes57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fbd…bbf7backed Yes57c18.39$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.912100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+154.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81d7…32d8backed Yes75c16.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.