La Liga · resolved market
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb517746ec966019d955054e74ac4a27449cd676828da62be0d158bbdeedd203
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $684,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $731,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $684,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 516 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 40c | 157,822$63,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,043.16 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed No | 61c | 51,816$31,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,276.29 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 43c | 50,000$21,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,499.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 29,918$18,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,866.67 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 61c | 28,000$17,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,920 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf6…9af0backed Yes | 39c | 25,178$9,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,820.17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,800 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 62c | 19,300$11,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,333.84 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 57c | 18,078$10,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,773.64 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 60c | 16,774$10,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,747.7 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 60c | 14,190$8,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,675.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…5dfebacked No | 61c | 12,935$7,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,074.59 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…35ccbacked Yes | 43c | 11,572$4,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,976 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 11,551$6,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,860.86 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 11,369$6,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,559.75 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 57c | 10,354$5,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,497.35 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 47c | 8,518$4,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,509.47 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 61c | 7,658$4,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,983.32 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 61c | 7,500$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.96 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…248bbacked No | 62c | 5,905$3,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,243.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 59c | 5,629$3,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.83 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 56c | 5,339$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.28 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 44c | 5,092$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.78 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes | 41c | 4,786$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.22 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 4,356$2,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.23 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 59c | 4,205$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.7 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b90…52aebacked Yes | 39c | 4,103$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed No | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.99 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 40c | 3,600$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…c4d1backed No | 60c | 3,536$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.4 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked No | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.77 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked No | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.77 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 35c | 3,503$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.24 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 40c | 3,325$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 57c | 3,200$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 57c | 3,185$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.73 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed No | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 27c | 2,963$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed No | 60c | 2,914$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 56c | 2,766$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 58c | 2,597$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.27 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked No | 60c | 2,576$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.23 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 59c | 2,549$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.09 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…b908backed No | 59c | 2,470$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 59c | 2,433$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.49 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…ea4fbacked Yes | 41c | 2,414$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 57c | 2,400$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 46c | 2,352$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.12 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 59c | 2,241$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 30c | 2,209$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.65 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +18.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed No | 60c | 2,205$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 60c | 2,196$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.19 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 61c | 2,183$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.95 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 60c | 2,116$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.15 | 128 | 23.4%30 W · 98 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 58c | 2,029$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.99 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 60c | 2,000$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.66 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.98 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed No | 60c | 1,919$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.6 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 58c | 1,900$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb47…2bb6backed No | 60c | 1,877$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 61c | 1,641$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked No | 59c | 1,538$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.32 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…f29bbacked Yes | 37c | 1,530$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.52 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +41%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed No | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,493$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 59c | 1,488$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.86 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 75c | 1,474$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.41 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…a3f4backed Yes | 40c | 1,400$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.81 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 61c | 1,397$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 58c | 1,375$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.26 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 33c | 1,371$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.13 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 63c | 1,359$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.18 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +8.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked No | 59c | 1,305$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.05 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 40c | 1,300$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.4 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…c5dcbacked Yes | 45c | 1,289$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.89 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…7aa6backed Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 60c | 1,243$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 31c | 1,210$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.94 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 59c | 1,210$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.2 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…8a28backed Yes | 31c | 1,204$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 38c | 1,171$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a4…44debacked Yes | 39c | 1,147$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaa…1721backed No | 60c | 1,143$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 44c | 1,097$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.46 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 18c | 1,065$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.73 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed No | 58c | 1,015$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.3 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 60c | 1,003$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.46 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 213 | 22.1%47 W · 166 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?this page
- Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-11?No won
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.