TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$611,382
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$673,598

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $611,382 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes30c233,289$69,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163,538.0115034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked No70c60,000$42,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,0001546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No70c52,619$36,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,833.363354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c44,500$31,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,149.892,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No70c37,546$26,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,287.7540357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed No71c27,710$19,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,674.16350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No66c16,940$11,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,187.2457139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No70c16,108$11,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,289.261,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No70c15,300$10,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,71010539%41 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No23c14,088$3,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,218.433,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No70c10,070$7,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,049.351,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No70c9,983$6,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,988.157553.3%40 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1137…e601backed No70c9,976$6,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,982.85742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes42c9,946$4,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,748.961030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No64c9,070$5,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,842.884,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2037…473dbacked No70c7,142$4,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes46c6,627$3,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,567.855940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No71c6,570$4,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,664.713844.9%62 W · 76 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes31c6,189$1,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,270.6523456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No70c6,053$4,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,237.155853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No63c6,019$3,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,819.2210948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No71c6,000$4,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,26015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No70c6,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2006051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No70c6,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2005750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No70c6,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2005749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes30c5,237$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,664.719840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefd4…51b1backed No71c4,310$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0601573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes31c3,871$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,670.976550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes29c3,835$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,722.778251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No71c3,656$2,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,597.514959.2%29 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb0…34ecbacked No71c3,187$2,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2631471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c71…66bfbacked Yes30c3,178$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,224.55450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes30c3,060$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.36839.7%27 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1af…c4d1backed No71c2,878$2,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,038.311866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No70c2,741$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.7522448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No71c2,113$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked No71c2,000$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,42080%0 W · 8 L-4.3wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked No70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.992070%14 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes35c1,997$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.4992345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes49c1,915$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.6912823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed No71c1,862$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.732245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No70c1,709$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.5815051.3%77 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes30c1,667$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.676848.5%33 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No70c1,600$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12019255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed No70c1,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0504850%24 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes30c1,500$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0503743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No19c1,438$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.1821322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb96e…b3a2backed No71c1,408$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef7d…a3f0backed No71c1,408$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcde4…91b3backed No71c1,408$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31d5…157dbacked No71c1,408$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09d6…bfd6backed No71c1,408$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No71c1,408$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013051.5%67 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes30c1,321$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.5122246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes62c1,305$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.7560832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ba…3bccbacked Yes14c1,300$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.71421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No70c1,288$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.7531952.4%167 W · 152 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51f9…26f8backed No70c1,217$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.7320%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked No70c1,200$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8402161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Yes30c1,100$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes61c1,051$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.774055%22 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8953…9b78backed Yes30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.141566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+53.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7108246.3%38 W · 44 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed No69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6902740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes30c999.99$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.3364457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd217…b3f3backed No70c999.97$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.981145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x453d…86aabacked No71c985.92$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed No70c980.1$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.073655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No70c959.92$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.943441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No80c952.38$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.225872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb416…4588backed Yes52c872.31$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c6a…cbfbbacked Yes29c840.53$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.771540%6 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No71c836.62$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5949666.7%64 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc853…9d37backed No70c827.2$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.041747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No61c819.99$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.192365.2%15 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No70c792.66$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.864837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes33c783.84$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.1968450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked No18c765.57$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.5510127.7%28 W · 73 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No58c731.39$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.3158548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No47c725$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.2210629.2%31 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes29c707.8$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.5483444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde8e…3289backed No71c700$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4972965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b3…3d44backed No14c700$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+52.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No70c660$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46248251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No71c640.35$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.6544039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa386…cb0fbacked No71c628$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.881154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked No16c608.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2450%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f70…ce77backed No20c600$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12090%0 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No40c599.34$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.99931.3%31 W · 68 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes30c583.33$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.3313426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed No53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005957.6%34 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No70c525.37$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.6483650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes30c523.33$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.335232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f88…cd62backed Yes29c517.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.24475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+120.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35012954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No37c476.85$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.3863553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3f…c5dcbacked Yes66c475.02$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.061330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-52.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfe6…fcc9backed Yes30c466.67$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.67450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9d9…1b2cbacked No71c463.89$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No33c459.38$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.481,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.