TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-05-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,579
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,087

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,579 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No59c14,000$8,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,316.485,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes29c10,482$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,481.866827.9%19 W · 49 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed Yes50c7,287$3,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,640.787950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No48c4,111$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.631,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No73c3,141$2,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,285.18,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No48c2,393$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.0719952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No62c1,891$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.731,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes52c1,402$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.4114540%58 W · 87 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8d…acc4backed No45c1,124$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.664852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No48c1,002$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.8850746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51023057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb778…6492backed Yes56c999.99$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.32222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes55c941.06$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.642,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No46c884.11$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.6733745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes55c755.47$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.011,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Yes57c692.93$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.961833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No51c612.22$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.4910467.3%70 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No40c589.98$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.11,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes55c557.82$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.573,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa96f…0cd0backed Yes52c554.24$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.242454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes58c533.49$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.623762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes19c449.85$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.6444843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59b4…73e0backed Yes28c428.57$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.573948.7%19 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+32.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No45c419.54$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.7927855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No45c418.57$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.5755155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes35c416.63$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.8115326.1%40 W · 113 L+0.7wins0.00per pick26cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.62785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick55cpaid+56.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes54c382.65$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.6648547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No49c372.75$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.442,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes53c368$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.9657540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Yes55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.64875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+63.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes55c349.9$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.891,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba7f…d907backed Yes29c272.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+241.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed No63c270.36$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.563444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes37c260.16$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.869124.2%22 W · 69 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No49c255$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.951,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No49c255$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.951,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes28c250$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18076951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No46c247.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0813545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No50c238.09$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8714254.9%78 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes54c229.08$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.1865058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No45c222.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.991,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes12c203.7$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.541,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Yes50c195.28$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.381957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No45c194.24$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4133266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes50c183.6$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.817251.7%89 W · 83 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5731745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Yes22c175.15$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.419652.1%50 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x551e…a3f4backed Yes63c173.77$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.775455.6%30 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fd…3914backed Yes12c169.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.935843.1%25 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes55c164.42$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.194848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed No46c140.15$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.472313%3 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.23per pick36cpaid-64.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Yes53c131$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.334667.4%31 W · 15 L+7.9wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe20b…3ae4backed Yes55c127.27$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.271275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+25.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No53c124.44$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2213248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked Yes56c119.51$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.584969.4%34 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No69c118.8$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4210875%81 W · 27 L+16.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2e4e…2564backed Yes46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ff…309fbacked Yes28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Yes47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.387841%32 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7053…25e4backed Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.044129.3%12 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked No73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714944.9%22 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Yes48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes51c97.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4326745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e82…af92backed No49c93$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.57966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No44c83.57$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7778756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x168a…7e93backed Yes36c80.93$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.082245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes49c79.97$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7845253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No72c73.75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.137748.1%37 W · 40 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94bf…ee06backed Yes28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.431729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No34c69.27$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4811230.4%34 W · 78 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-41%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No37c65.24$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3942946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes17c61.88$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.481,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes44c61.59$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5914335.7%51 W · 92 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes51c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9114844.6%66 W · 82 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8da3…7c12backed Yes20c59$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.161566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes24c58.61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3829047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes72c55.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7312348%59 W · 64 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes42c55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.959710.3%10 W · 87 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-72.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bec…aad9backed No47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed No50c52.1$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.131450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa233…dfe8backed No61c50.63$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.745954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No51c50.25$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.631,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.53969.2%27 W · 12 L+7.1wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+37.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3018743.9%82 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510847.2%51 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358540%34 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes43c44.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1930231.1%94 W · 208 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6756…0e82backed Yes41c43.9$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed No70c42.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010966.1%72 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes57c42.26$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.172931%9 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Yes42c42$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.259763.9%62 W · 35 L+13.3wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+47.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x958a…df0ebacked Yes48c41.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.48633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b1…daa0backed No50c40.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-47.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed No47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.953836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed No50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205228.8%15 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x92ac…16cdbacked No73c38.21$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x550e…0840backed Yes43c37.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.211752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3638861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.